Displaying items by tag: fixed income

Insurance companies are increasingly turning to asset-backed bonds to support annuity payouts amid surging demand for retirement income products. Securitized assets now make up a quarter of insurers’ bond holdings, with exposure growing by $365 billion since 2017, according to Morgan Stanley. 

Higher interest rates have fueled record annuity sales, reaching $432.4 billion in 2024, marking a 12% annual increase. This trend has intensified insurers’ appetite for asset-backed securities (ABS) and collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), which saw combined holdings rise to $312 billion last year. 

Esoteric ABS, including whole business and digital infrastructure securitizations, have become key components of insurers’ portfolios due to their yield and duration advantages. As demographic shifts drive continued demand for annuities, Morgan Stanley projects structured credit exposure to grow at a 6% annualized rate through 2027.

Finsum: It’s important to understand the underlying structure of annuities, because it tells a compelling story for their high demand. 

The municipal bond market experienced fluctuations in 2024, with tax-free yields rising in response to Treasury yield movements, particularly in the latter half of the year. Market uncertainty increased following the Federal Reserve’s December rate cut, which coincided with ongoing inflation concerns and economic crosscurrents. 

As 2025 begins, the potential extension of 2017 tax cuts under the new administration may impact demand for tax-free bonds, particularly if corporate tax rates are lowered. Climate-related risks, such as the LA fires and hurricanes, have drawn attention to municipal finance, with increased insurance costs and resilience measures potentially leading to more bond issuance. 

Despite these pressures, municipal credit quality remains stable, supported by strong reserves, prudent budget management, and infrastructure reinvestment. However, challenges persist in certain sectors, including healthcare, higher education, and public K-12 schools, due to shifting demographics, rising costs, and expiring pandemic aid.

Finsum: These are important things to monitor for municipal bonds, and the increasing role of DOGE, could drastically change this bond segment. 

Actively managed U.S. bond funds saw a resurgence in 2024, drawing in substantial investment after two years of outflows, with industry leaders like Pacific Investment Management Co. leading the charge. Morningstar Direct data revealed that six of the ten bond mutual funds with the highest net inflows were actively managed, pulling in a combined $74 billion.

In total, actively managed bond funds attracted $261 billion over the year, the highest level since 2021, despite a bond market selloff triggered by the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut in four years. Core and income-focused bond strategies were the biggest winners, appealing to investors seeking stability in an uncertain interest-rate landscape. 

With Treasury yields hovering near 5% and credit spreads historically tight, investors are weighing the risks and rewards of bonds versus other asset classes. While the Pimco Income Fund remained the largest actively managed bond fund with $26.8 billion in inflows, the Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund led all funds with $33.4 billion. 

Finsum: Uncertainty around fiscal policy and potential inflationary pressures under the new administration could shape how bond markets evolve in 2025.

Municipal bonds, often overlooked, are gaining attention as fixed income performs strongly, prompting investors to reconsider their portfolios for 2025. Gregory Steier from Brown Brothers Harriman, highlighted that with elevated yields and record municipal issuance, risks are relatively low, making this an exciting time for munis. 

Steier emphasized that, for 2025, high-quality municipal portfolios might even outperform equities. Munis are attractive for their liquidity, income, diversification, and tax efficiency, with national muni bonds offering advantages over state-specific ones. 

Investors can access municipal exposure through ETFs like the ALPS Intermediate Municipal Bond ETF (MNBD), which focuses on bonds exempt from federal taxes, offering an active approach and strong returns, outperforming its benchmark. 

Finsum: This strategy could be a compelling option for those seeking solid yields to kick off the new year.

Point72 Asset Management has tapped Todd Hirsch, a former senior managing director at Blackstone, to lead a new initiative centered on private credit opportunities. Steve Cohen, the firm’s founder, emphasized that the supply-demand imbalance in private credit creates a favorable environment for growth in this area. 

The global private credit market, valued at over $3 trillion, includes prominent firms like KKR, Carlyle, and Ares Management. Hirsch’s role will involve building and managing a portfolio that spans sectors such as technology, healthcare IT, insurance, and payments. 

Initially integrated into Point72’s broader hedge fund strategy, the private credit initiative may evolve into a standalone fund or business, though no definitive plans have been set. Point72, which manages $35.2 billion in assets, is positioning itself to capitalize on this rapidly growing market.

Finsum: We think private credit has shown resilience and is in a good place to begin 2025.