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FINSUM

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Wednesday, 04 October 2023 05:23

On brand

It can seem daunting, of course, to develop a brand from scratch, according to lpl.com. Whether it’s choosing a name to developing a personal logo, the reverberations of doing so endures. And that can be pretty intimidating.

When it comes to your financial practice -- your powers of creativity aside – methodical’s the name of the game. A few simple starter steps:

  1. Define your value proposition

 

  1. Pick your DBA name

 

  1. Develop a logo

 

  1. Develop a Website

 

  1. Execute with Consistency

 

Then there’s the power of persuasion.

Want others to pick up on your professional and personal success? Well, you need to convince them to see your value, according to hbr.org.

These days, everyone – every where’s – a brand, and it’s paramount for your to develop yours and market it like doing so comes natural.



Personal branding’s intentional. It’s also a strategic practice where you define and spell out your personal value proposition. Now, there’s nothing new able carefully cultivating your public persona and reputation, the potential audience has significantly been expanded by online research and social media.

 

 

Monday, 02 October 2023 03:55

Model Portfolios Starting to Affect Markets

Model portfolios have been growing at a consistent rate for decades due to increasing adoption by younger advisors and more awareness among investors. Now, they have reached a size at which they are starting to affect markets especially when dealing with more illiquid securities. Currently, they collectively manage $3 trillion in assets under management (AUM).

It’s natural to consider the risks and opportunities as these ripple effects will only grow with model portfolios forecast to exceed $10 trillion in AUM over the next decade. In fact, recent unusual flows into various ETFs are often due to changes in the holdings of model portfolios.

Most model portfolios are constructed with ETFs. They are managed by investment teams of asset managers and can enable advisors to spend less time on portfolio management or security selection and more time on building their business and managing client relations. 

Since 2018, more than 400 model portfolio offerings have been launched. Most research shows that model portfolios tend to outperform advisor-managed portfolios. Ultimately, it’s an acknowledgement that beating the market is nearly impossible and that an advisors’ job is increasingly about financial planning rather than investing. 


Finsum: Model portfolio AUM is already in excess of $3 trillion. Here’s why the category is forecast to exceed $10 trillion over the next decade. 

Monday, 02 October 2023 03:50

Fixed Income Struggles Amid Fed Hawkishness

Fixed income posted its worst quarterly performance in over a year as the market has been reducing odds of rate cuts, while increasing odds of additional hikes and extending its estimate of the duration of tight policy. This also led to the first quarterly decline in equities this year.

 

Yields on long-duration Treasuries are now at their highest level since 2007. Fed hawkishness is even neutering positive reactions to benign economic data as evidenced by the recent low PCE print. Fixed income was initially bid up, however this strength was sold into as most bonds finished the day unchanged. Some additional reasons may be the recent rise in oil which could handcuff the Fed from pivoting, huge supply of Treasuries hitting the market over the next couple of quarters, and uncertainty over the government shutdown. 

 

In terms of fixed income performance, short-duration assets are outperforming, while long-duration assets are hitting new lows. Many strategists are now saying that yields will rise further with the 10Y going past 5%. 

 

The contrarian case is that the Fed is close to the end of its tightening cycle and that the economy is finally starting to show signs of contraction. Thus, investors should buy on the dip to take advantage of these elevated yields.


Finsum: Fixed income and equities both performed poorly in Q3. For fixed income, here are some of the factors behind the weakness.

 

Many contrarian investors are certainly interested in buying the dip in REITs given the low valuations, generous yields, and upside in the event of a Fed pivot. Further, many components of the real estate market remain healthy such as healthcare and industrials. However, there are some risks that investors need to consider.

There are secular problems in areas like retail and office buildings due to oversupply, while there have also been significant changes in people’s behavior, affecting demand. Additionally, investors should be aware that every bear market results in a handful of value and yield traps which become plagued by balance sheet and liquidity issues especially in high-rate environments.

Value traps are situations in which stocks look attractive by conventional metrics, however these low valuations are a reflection that the market isn’t optimistic about the company’s prospects. Similarly, ‘yield traps’ are when yields look attractive, but the market is expecting a dividend cut as current payout ratios are not sustainable. 

For investors interested in REITs, they must prioritize quality and strong financials. This is especially true in the current situation where the path and trajectory of monetary policy remains highly uncertain. If rates do stay elevated for a long period of time, some REITs will go bankrupt, while many will have to pay their dividends in order to remain solvent. 


Finsum: REITs are attracting interest from contrarian investors, but here are some downside risks to consider.

 

A little more than 3 years ago, the SEC strengthened fiduciary rules with the passage of Reg BI, and this was also adopted by FINRA. According to a recent report from state regulators, brokerages are still struggling to comply with these new regulations.

In essence, Reg BI ensures that any recommendations made by a broker have to be offered impartially along with an explanation of any alternatives. The purpose of these rules is to ensure that there is no conflict between a broker and the client without necessarily imposing the full fiduciary obligation of RIAs. 

The North American Securities Administrators Association (NASAA) reviewed broker compliance efforts and found middling results especially given that 3 years have passed. Additionally, the SEC and FINRA have stepped up enforcement efforts this year.  According to the group, there remains room for improvement especially as many brokers remain uncertain about the rule and its application to products like annuities, leveraged products, private placements, or other alternative investment products. 

Many firms are creating their own protocols regarding compliance and spending more time on understanding their clients’ risk tolerance and goals before providing recommendations. However, the group also found that many brokerages are too lax especially when it comes to providing disclosures and alternative recommendations. 


FinSum: The North American Securities Administrators Association conducted an audit of brokerage to see how Reg BI compliance efforts are going. 

 

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