FINSUM
Goldman’s Best Stocks to Play the Rise of Ecommerce
(New York)
Goldman Sachs just made a highly un-risky and entirely unremarkable call—they contend ecommerce will continue to grow at a good pace. However, within that contention, they also picked three stocks which represent the best way to play that growth. They prefer pure play ecommerce companies, and say that Amazon, Alibaba, and JD.com are the best names to buy in order to benefit from the continued rise of online shopping. According to Goldman, “Pure-play eCommerce companies like Amazon continue to benefit from greater access to consumer data and purchase history that enables not only compelling consumer experiences but also delivers efficiency and competitive benefits”.
FINSUM: These are certainly good ways to play ecommerce, but there are some other good angles too, such as logistics providers or warehousing stocks etc.
Bernie’s Big New Idea
(Washington)
Bernie Sanders is struggling to keep his positon as the third most popular candidate in the Democratic primary. Elizabeth Warren seems to have taken a lot of his platform and delivered it more succinctly and less cantankerously. However, Sanders is trying to one-up her and has just announced his own wealth tax plans. Bernie goes further than Warren with a tax that aims to cut net worth of America’s richest by half in the next decade. Sanders further commented on his plan, saying “billionaires should not exist”.
FINSUM: Whatever you think of this plan, we don’t believe this is ultimately going to help Bernie or the Democrats win the general election, as this is likely just too radical for most Americans.
The Stock Market is Shouting “Buy”
(New York)
It has been a rough several month stretch for stocks and no one seems to have a clear view on where things are headed. All the same fears dog the market now just as they have all year, but at the same time, there seems to be some bullish indicators. Economic signals have been much better recently, which could support a longer bull market. Additionally, so much bearish sentiment has built up that it seems like the market is poised for a big move higher. Finally, the sideways action of the market seems to point to another move higher. Some think the sideways move over the last several months means that this cycle has seen its peak. On the contrary, though, usually late stage bull markets move higher right before an economic downturn.
FINSUM: The market was flat for over a year right in the middle of the bull market and then took a huge move higher. Same situation?
A Good Time for Dividend Stocks
(New York)
Utilities just hit a new high. So what else is new. Utility stocks have been surging this year alongside falling rates, and they are not the only ones. Consumer staples, consumer discretionary and even tech have been rising strongly. Not only do the dividends look appealing, but the stable earnings profile is attractive given the threat of a downturn. What is most impressive is that utilities have held up even though value has been surging. According to Goldman Sachs “With the Fed cutting rates again this week and the 10-year yield at 1.78% [now 1.71%], utilities continue to perform well, despite NT headwinds as broader momentum trades reversed slightly”.
FINSUM: As long as there is downward pressure on rates, we suspect dividend stocks will be strong. But it wouldn’t take much to reverse that.
A Bold Call on Apple
(San Francisco)
A few weeks ago we were feeling very bearish about the new iPhone and suggested that we thought Apple’s stock might fall. However, we must now admit that we have had a change of heart. The incredibly poor sentiment that preceded the new iPhone’s release has been replaced with cautious optimism. Reviews of the newest suite of phones have been more positive than expected and this replacement cycle seems likely to be significantly better than previously expected. That, combined with the fact that Apple is not staggering release dates of the models this year, means that the stock could see some significant gains.
FINSUM: Everything seemed very gloomy prior to the new iPhone’s release, but that was the perfect environment for an upside surprise.