(Boston)

Advisors will have likely noticed that Massachusetts has just introduced a new fiduciary rule. The rule, announced on Friday, makes Massachusetts the first state to adopt a best interest standard since courts struck down the DOL’s fiduciary rule. The rule is under the usual attacks from industry trade groups, but more surprisingly, it is also being attacked by fiduciary rule advocates. Such advocates had initially praised the rule’s first draft, but now say the state made too many changes before implementation. According to the Consumer Federation of America “What’s left is a modest improvement on Regulation Best Interest but not the kind of tough standard needed to protect investors from conflicted advice.”

FINSUM: The changes to the rule were significant, such as not applying to insurance product sales and not applying to brokers unless “account monitoring” was specifically specified in the customer contract. The rule takes effect March 6th.

(San Francisco)

Apple’s stock has suffered significantly last week since it announced that it would likely miss its revenue targets because of the virus outbreak in China. The stock is down 7% since the announcement and there is increasing speculation the damage may not be transient. The whole incident calls into question whether the country is too reliant on China for production (and also for sales). Many Wall Street analysts have pushed lost revenue for this quarter into other quarters, but it is not at all inconceivable to think that some of the sales may be lost permanently as consumers could have bought rival products, or just won’t switch at all (especially those in China).

FINSUM: Apple should probably work to adjust its supply chain as a reaction to this, but that seems unlikely. Hard to tell how this plays out; it depends on the news cycle.

(New York)

The bond market looks primed for a big correction, says a top asset manager. Bonds have been surging in price as yields fall because of fears over coronavirus, but they seem likely to have a sharp pullback once the news cycle focusing on the virus moves on. That is the argument coming out of asset manager WisdomTree. According to the firm’s head of Fixed Income Strategy, if we have a sharp “V” shaped recovery, then bonds might see yields jump sharply (and prices fall sharply).

FINSUM: WisdomTree made one other excellent point that is not as obvious. US companies are starting to seek alternative suppliers away from China. As this happens, there is likely to be a transitory pickup in inflation since prices are probably going to be higher from suppliers outside of China. Accordingly, bond markets might also react sharply to a rise in inflation.

(New York)

Fixed Index Annuities have suffered from some bad selling practices over the years, and resultantly, bad publicity. However, they can serve some very important roles in a portfolio. There are a few things to remember about them. Firstly, they were designed to compete with CD-like returns while giving complete principal protection. Don’t think of them as a market growth product, they are a life insurance product. Additionally, they are a very good vehicle for income rider guarantees, or contractually agreed guaranteed income. This latter point is especially relevant given that 10,000 Baby Boomers are reaching retirement age every day and we live in a near pension-less world.

FINSUM: When carefully considered and utilized, FIAs can be excellent products that provide steady income and peace of mind.

(New York)

We have ben warning for weeks that as the coronavirus continued to spread, airline and other travel stocks would continue to be wounded (and likely not recover soon). That is happening n a big way today as news of a quarantine in Italy sent markets into a panic about the spread of the disease beyond China. Cruise ships and airline stocks are taking body blows as a result, with Delta and American down 7% and 10% respectively.

FINSUM: These are massive losses, and the worst part about it is that there is unlikely to be a “V” shaped recovery in these sectors, as it will take some time for the public’s fear of the virus (and thus travel) to wane even after things start to get better.

(New York)

Stock across the developed world went into freefall today as news spread of the explosion of the coronavirus in Europe and the subsequent quarantine that has been put in place in Northern Italy. Additionally, US data shows business activity contracted for the first time in four years in February. The S&P 500 and Dow are both down about 3.4% at the time of writing.

FINSUM: The virus is now no longer contained to China, with Italy sporting 150 cases and three deaths. Chip companies, travel and tech are getting hit the hardest.

(Washington)

The terrible, no-good, hated first version of the DOL Rule could be on its way back. While most advisors are aware that many of the Democratic candidates want to bring back the old version of the rule, one big surprise came out this week—even Mike Bloomberg explicitly says he wants the rule reinstated. That comes as a bit of a shock because he is seen as the most moderate candidate (he was a Republican while mayor of NYC!).

FINSUM: There is a huge amount on the line for the wealth management industry in this upcoming election. Not only will taxes likely change drastically, but the regulatory environment may shift radically.

(New York)

Fixed index annuities can be an ideal investment if you are looking for a mix of upside gain and downside protection. Many annuities in this category allow a range of choices that mean investors can get much of the upside of an index and still combine it will downside protection. A couple good examples include Lincoln National’s OptiBlend 5 and Delaware Life Insurance Company’s Retirement Stages 7 Fixed Index Annuity. For instance, Lincoln’s offering allows investors to choose exposure to the S&P 500 or the Fidelity AIM Dividend Index and holders can change their allocation each year. Holders can receive a percentage portion of the upside of each index (i.e. up to 35% from the S&P 500 and up to 89% of the AIM Dividend Index).

FINSUM: FIAs can provide a nice mix of benefits and peace of mind, but it is key to remember that the cost of that protection can be quite high.

(San Francisco)

It isn’t just Apple that is at risk from coronavirus. A lot of other tech companies are too, and it makes perfect sense. Apple is far from the only major US tech company that sources many of its parts from China and relies on the country for a significant portion of revenue. The other major companies which are highly exposed are Tesla (20% of its supply and demand comes from China), Dell, HP, and Corning (which looks especially vulnerable).

FINSUM: Corning has a major glass factory in Wuhan itself and relies on China for 25% of its revenue.

(San Francisco)

In many ways the coronavirus just became real for stock markets. Up to this point, fears about how the virus might impact the economy and stocks seemed esoteric and intangible. Then this happened: Apple warned that it would miss its quarterly revenue target because of coronavirus. It is having trouble producing phones because of unstaffed Chinese factories. Accordingly, the company announced “iPhone supply shortages will temporarily affect revenues worldwide”.

FINSUM: This is when the rubber meets the road and it becomes much easier to see how this virus could cause a global recession. The engine of the world (China) is sputtering.