Wealth Management
Direct indexing is seeing a surge in popularity as it appeals to many investors due to its tax benefits and customization abilities while still offering low costs and diversification. Hearts & Wallets conducted a focus group in 3 cities across the US with investors to get their thoughts on the emerging strategy.
Direct indexing is essentially a variant of traditional index investing through low-cost ETFs or mutual funds. However, the major difference is that investors replicate the index within a separately managed account. This means that they own the actual constituents of the index which means that there are additional opportunities for tax-loss harvesting and personalization.
The focus groups were overall very favorable to the concept and more so than in previous years. Respondents seemed to be most attracted to its potential tax savings. In contrast, many were less enthused about customization given that it added a layer of complexity and seemed time-consuming. A small minority did appreciate the option of being able to avoid companies they don’t like.
Another interesting finding from the focus group is that it’s appealing to investors with less assets as well as high net-worth investors specifically for its tax savings. According to the firm, two-thirds is in taxable accounts, and this continues to grow at a faster pace than money in nontaxable accounts. Thus, advisors are likely to have the most success by stressing this benefit of the strategy.
Finsum: Hearts & Wallet conducted a focus group of investors in 3 cities about direct indexing. It revealed that investors were most receptive to the strategy’s tax benefits.
Entering 2024, active fixed income investors are grappling with a unique mix of risks and opportunities given recent developments in inflation, yields, and rates. Insight Investment collected thoughts from BNY Mellon’s fixed income portfolio managers to get their thoughts on the coming year.
Adam Whiteley, the portfolio manager of the BNY Mellon Global Credit Fund, sees a continuation of 2023 trends in credit markets in 2024. He believes developed economies will avoid a recession. However, the major focus is on determining where markets are in the credit cycle. This will have implications for identifying risks and the best sectors within the fixed income universe.
The portfolio managers of the BNY Mellon Global Short-Dated High Yield Bond Fund have a positive bias for high-yield and short-duration debt. Yet, they believe that investors will have to take credit analysis and cash flow modeling more seriously, given they expect a slight increase in the default rate. Overall, they still see the high-yield debt market as being stable and strong despite these risks due to better credit quality and strong balance sheets.
In terms of emerging market (EM) debt, the firm has a cautious outlook in the near-term despite more upside for EMs. The biggest variable is likely to be developed market and economic performance. EM corporates tend to have strong balance sheets so are well positioned for any slowdown.
Finsum: BNY’s active fixed income managers shared their thoughts and outlook for 2024. Overall, they see some risks in the coming year, but the overall market remains in a good place.
AllianceBernstein launched 4 new fixed income ETFs. With these new issues, AllianceBernstein now has 7 active fixed income ETFs and a total of 12 ETFs. The firm entered the ETF market in 2022 with the Ultra Short Income ETF and the Tax-Aware Short Duration ETFs. These now have assets of $587 million and $290 million, respectively.
Two of the new ETFs - the Tax-Aware Intermediate Municipal and Tax-Aware Long Municipal - invest primarily in municipal bonds and have a 28-basis points expense ratio. Its other fixed income ETF launches are the Corporate Bond ETF and the Core Plus Bond ETF. The Corporate Bond ETF invests primarily in US dollar-denominated corporate debt issued by US and foreign companies. The Core Plus Bond ETF will invest primarily in corporate bonds and mortgage and asset-backed securities. These ETFs have an expense ratio of 30 and 33 basis points, respectively.
As of December 1, active fixed income ETFs had a total of $169.8 billion in assets and $30.1 billion of net inflows according to Morningstar. In contrast, passive fixed income ETFs had total assets of $1.3 trillion and net inflows of $169.1 billion. The higher ratio of net inflows to assets for active fixed income indicates that the category is making up ground with passive fixed income.
Finsum: AllianceBernstein is launching 4 new active fixed income ETFs. Overall, active fixed income is much smaller than passive fixed income, but the gap is shrinking.
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According to a study from Cerulli Associates, independent and hybrid RIAs are seeing the most growth in advisor headcount compared to other channels. This same trend is evident across larger time frames as well and an indication that independence is an enticement for advisors.
Over the last decade, the number of independent RIAs has grown by a 2.4% annual rate, while the number of advisors working at independent RIAs has increased by an annual rate of 5.2%. Over the next 5 years, total advisor headcount is projected to remain flat, but independent and hybrid RIAs are forecast to see more gains in advisor headcount. And independent and hybrid firms are projected to control 31% of intermediary market share by 2027.
Some of the reasons that independent and hybrid RIAs may appeal to advisors are more flexibility and higher payout percentages. In contrast, the more established firms offer the leverage of corporate scale in addition to access to technology, training, and resources.
A survey by Fidelity of advisors in October had similar findings. Over the past 5 years, 1 out of 6 advisors had switched firms. Independent RIAs were the top destination. 94% of advisors who switched firms were happy with the decision, and 80% reported growth in assets under management.
Finsum: Independent and hybrid RIAs are seeing continued growth in terms of advisor headcount at a time when total growth in headcount for the industry is flat.
As the calendar turns to a new year, it’s an opportune time to check in how experts are thinking about various asset classes. According to Jason Bloom, Invesco’s head of fixed income and alternatives, the market has been overly defensive for the last 2 years. However, this attitude is now changing as the consensus increasingly believes that a soft landing is likely.
Flows into fixed income have fluctuated with investor sentiment rather than in search of optimal returns. As a result, many investors may be missing out on opportunities and underexposed in the event of a rising market, he warned.
Bloom added that, “The market has really been in this state of sort of almost living in a world that is very different from the truth and reality of the underlying economy. For almost two years now, we’ve been three months away from a recession. The market has been perfectly wrong in predicting a Fed rate cut six months from now for the last two years. That trend has been incredible.”
Bloom wants to continue positioning against the consensus by betting on the economy remaining healthier than expected, and the Fed cutting less than expected. He believes inflation will continue to moderate although the 2% target is more of a floor rather than a ceiling. Given this outlook, he favors high-yield and leveraged loans given that default rates are likely to stay low if the economy remains robust.
Finsum: Invesco’s Jason Bloom is optimistic about fixed income in 2024. He recommends continuing to bet against the consensus trade by expecting a healthy economy in 2024 and fewer rate cuts than expected.
Nick Zamparelli, senior VP and CIO of Sequoia Financial Group, shared some insights from one of Sequoia’s model portfolio. In terms of allocations, 25% is liquid fixed income, 38% is liquid public equities, and 36% is alternatives which includes private credit, private equity, hedge funds, and real assets. He credits Sequoia’s success to mixing in illiquid investments to boost risk-adjusted returns.
In terms of his outlook, the biggest challenge is on the fixed income side and when to move from short-duration assets to longer-duration ones. Many have been stung by being too early in expecting the Fed’s hiking cycle to force the economy into a recession. Instead, the economy proved to be more resilient than expected and yields kept trending higher for most of the year until recently.
Regardless, he sees opportunities in fixed income given that yields are sufficiently elevated to offer diversification and attractive returns. Additionally, he sees the asset class returning to its traditional role as offering diversification against equities.
In terms of equities, Zamparelli sees upside for small cap stocks given that they have recently underperformed but history shows outperformance over longer periods of time. Another area of interest is international and emerging market equities which have underperformed for the last 16 years. He believes these stocks will benefit if the dollar weakens.
Finsum: Nick Zamparelli, the senior VP and CIO of Sequoia Financial Group, shared some insights from managing a 50/50 model portfolio including thoughts on fixed income and equities.