Post-pandemic, U.S. economic forecasts have consistently underestimated growth, a trend strategists like RBC’s Lori Calvasina believe will continue into 2025. RBC projects 2%–3% GDP growth for the year, while Bank of America estimates 2.4%, surpassing the Bloomberg consensus of 2.1%. 

Strong GDP growth is historically tied to better equity market performance, with stocks gaining 70% of the time when growth ranges between 2.1% and 3%. Value stocks, which perform well in periods of robust growth and higher interest rates, are expected to benefit from continued economic resilience and protectionist policies under the second Trump administration. 

This environment is favorable for ETFs focused on value stocks, such as Invesco S&P 500 Enhanced Value ETF (SPVU) and Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR), which have lower P/E ratios compared to broader market ETFs. 

Finsum: These value-focused ETFs may see a strong turnaround in 2025, fueled by higher bond yields and resilient economic conditions.