Direct indexing was a hot topic last year as personalization gained steam. It is expected to continue to gain popularity with investors still dealing with inflation and recessionary concerns. Investors want an investment strategy that not only combats market volatility but also addresses their personal situation. According to a 2021 McKinsey study, consumers don’t just want personalization, they demand it more than ever. Investment advisors are recognizing this and looking for ways to incorporate personalization into their clients’ portfolios. Based on the results of Schwab’s 2022 Independent Advisor Outlook study, more than half the advisors surveyed anticipate clients to expect more personalization of investment portfolios. Millennial investors are leading this trend. While personalized portfolios were historically designed for ultra-high-net-worth investors due to high account minimums, advancements in financial technology have brought these offerings to investors of all means. With personalization, investors can have more control over their holdings matching their specific views. Plus, it might also lead to better investment outcomes. Poor investing behavior such as making decisions based on emotion can lead to poor results. With a personalized portfolio, investors are more likely to stick to their strategy when markets get volatile.

Finsum:As inflation and a potential recession remain on investors’ minds, advisors expect their clients to ask for more personalized portfolios.

While many hedge funds performed poorly last year, there was one strategy that had a big year, macro. According to Investopedia, a global macro hedge fund strategy is defined as a strategy that bases its holdings primarily on the overall economic and political views of various countries or their macroeconomic principles. Macro strategies performed well in last year’s volatile market, leading to strong gains for several funds. For instance, AQR Capital Management’s longest-running strategy had its best year since its inception in 1998, with the fund posting a gain of 43.5% net of fees. In fact, at least a dozen AQR funds saw record performance. AQR’s Absolute Return strategy soared 55% before fees, while the Style Premia Alternative Fund jumped 30.6%. AQR’s global macro strategy also had its best year, with a 42% gain. AGR wasn’t alone in having a strong year. Scott Bessent, who is a former Soros Fund Management investing chief, posted a 30% gain in his macro hedge fund and Chris Rokos’s $15.5 billion Macro Fund surged 51% in 2022, his best-ever gain. However, there was one notable firm that didn't perform well, Bridgewater Associates. Ray Dalio’s firm gave up much of its gains after losing money in October and November.

Finsum: Several macro hedge funds performed well last year, with at least twelve AQR funds achieving record performance.

While leads are the lifeline for any advisor, having a great selling proposition can help put advisors over the top. One advisor, in particular, realized fixed income was becoming a key part of his growth. RBC financial advisor Aaron Howe, who’s known among his colleagues as “the equity guy,” found that getting more involved with fixed income is helping him to develop and strengthen relationships with clients. The timing certainly makes sense as yields on bonds have risen with the Fed pursuing a tighter monetary policy. Howe even leads with fixed income as he talks to prospects. He believes that it’s a “win-win.” His clients are more engaged when they hold bonds from the cities and states in which they live. It has also provided him with more touchpoints with his clients. Howe stated, “People often love buying a school bond because they feel a personal connection to the investment.” Fixed income has also allowed him to take advantage of the market. He stated, “Any opportunity you have with your client to show them you are doing something for them to take advantage of the current situation– whether it’s rebalancing or tax loss selling – that’s what they’ll remember down the road.”

Finsum:A financial advisor was able to grow his practice and get more engagement with clients by getting more involved with fixed income.

Based on the results of a recent Invesco retirement income study, 83% of people with defined contribution savings plans expect it to be their largest source of income during retirement. However, some data is showing retirement portfolios were down as much as 23% last year. When you add in inflation, which is making everyday costs expensive, investors may not be able to rely on their 401k for income this year. That’s why John Faustino, the head of Broadridge’s Fi360, is recommending advisors and their clients consider the use of annuities as guaranteed income solutions in DC plans through Broadridge’s retirement income consortium. The consortium includes leading annuity providers such as Allianz, Nationwide, and TIAA, as well as data and analytics firms that work with advisors, such as Fi360, Cannex, and Fiduciary Insights. In an interview with planadviser, Faustino noted that the consortium recently “published criteria for comparing retirement income solutions contained within what we call our prudent practices, which is a collection of legislation, regulation and case law.” He also mentioned that they’re launching a software tool based on this methodology later in the year. The criteria are “designed to help advisers document their reasoning for selecting a particular retirement income solution for a plan and to help them monitor their selections and the overall process.”

Finsum:Broadridge’s retirement income consortium, made up of annuity providers and data firms, published criteria for comparing retirement income solutions such as annuities.

Much has been talked about regarding the failure of the 60/40 portfolio last year, but Vanguard analysts recently suggested that investors shouldn’t abandon a balanced portfolio strategy. Roger Aliaga-Diaz, portfolio construction head for Vanguard, and his team said in a recent note that “A balanced portfolio still offers the best chance of success.” Aliaga-Diaz noted that while the negative correlation between stocks and bonds broke down last year, “longer term, however, the data support balanced portfolios.” The firm noted that “The policy response to higher and more persistent inflation and the subsequent repricing of risk in global capital markets has led to a dramatic shift in our time-varying asset allocation (TVAA) outlook.” The TVAA looks to harvest the risk premiums for which the Vanguard thinks there is modest return predictability. Based on the firm’s current outlook, Vanguard’s optimal TVAA portfolio “calls for a 50/50 stock and bond split, and favors bonds and emerging markets.” Specifically, Vanguard’s TVAA allocation suggests 30% U.S. stocks, 20% international (divided equally between developed and emerging markets), 22% international bonds, and 27% U.S. fixed income (mostly in U.S. intermediate credit bonds). The firm noted that the interest rate tightening cycle in 2022 raised its expected bond return forecasts by more than the equity sell-off raised expected equity returns.

Finsum:While the 60/40 portfolio failed last year, Vanguard believes a balanced portfolio still offers the best chance of long-term success and recommends a 50/50 stock and bond split.