(New York)
If there was ever a counterintuitive sentence about stocks, it is the title to this article. However, that is what has proven to be true in the past. According to research produced by the Wall Street Journal, stock markets tend to perform poorly after great earnings seasons. The study found that over the last seven years, both US and European stocks tend to perform poorly following great earnings. Perhaps even more interestingly, when earnings undershot estimates, stocks tended to perform better than average.
FINSUM: This is a tough one to explain except by taking account of markets’ pre-pricing of earnings. Nonetheless, something of which to be mindful.