For cautious-minded investors, active fixed income could be a much better option than cash. This is according to SPDR Exchange Traded Funds’ Managing Director and Head of Research, Matthew Bartolini, who notes that some of the major advantages of active fixed income are that it offers more flexibility, consistent performance, and can be more tax efficient. Overall, it can help portfolios generate income, dampen volatility, while still retaining exposure to upside opportunities. 

Many advisors and investors are already aware of these benefits as active fixed income has taken a large portion of flows relative to its size compared to passive fixed income and equity ETFs. As Bartolini notes, “Active fixed income has been really a consistent engine of support within the active [ETF] construct — not only from flows but also returns.” Another factor in active fixed income’s growth is that it allows investors to take advantage of elevated yields. 

Bartolini also believes that future returns will be appetizing for the asset class, although there will be some volatility to stomach. He also believes that cash is less desirable due to the reinvestment risk. His major focus is on constructing portfolios to generate income while properly balancing risk. 

Finsum: Active fixed income is seeing major growth in terms of inflows. Here’s why the asset class is well-positioned for the current moment given the combination of elevated yields and an uncertain macro environment.

ETF investors are extremely price sensitive. This is indicated by data showing the dominance of equity and fixed income ETFs with total expense ratios below 30 basis points in terms of inflows. ETFs below this threshold captured 97.8% of equity inflows and 99% of fixed income ETF inflows. 

When looking at the total market, equity ETFs below 30 basis points account for 76.9% of assets, and fixed income ETFs below this level account for 85.5% of the market. Over the last decade, costs have drifted lower. Equity ETF average fee declined from 0.39% to 0.23%, and fixed income ETF cost dropped from 0.25% to 0.20%. 

A recent example of this trend is State Street Global Advisors reducing its fee on the popular SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) from 0.09% to 0.03%.  This move also led to a surge of inflows. 

According to Athanasios Psarofagis, ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, lower costs are a result of a more mature market. He also sees this trend continuing as he notes that “Over the long-term it is hard for active mutual funds to outperform the benchmark consistently. As ETFs grow, it will continue to put pressure on active managers to reduce their fees.

Finsum: ETFs with cost basis under 30 basis points are dominating in terms of inflows and represent the majority of total assets in ETFs. Here’s why this trend should continue. 

According to a report from Cerulli Associates, direct indexing will grow faster than ETFs, mutual funds, and separately managed accounts (SMA) over the next 5 years. Currently, it’s estimated that total assets under management for direct indexing strategies will exceed $800 billion by 2026 from $462 billion at the beginning of last year. 

Another factor that should support direct indexing’s growth is that only 14% of financial advisors are aware of direct indexing and actively recommend it to clients. It’s estimated that 63% of advisors have a client with over $500,000 in investable assets, while 14% of advisors focus on clients with over $5 million in assets. Direct indexing offers the most clear advantages for high net worth clients. For advisors, it’s an opportunity to offer a differentiated service especially as tax management and customization are highly valued by many prospects. 

Direct indexing is growing in popularity as it allows investors to retain the major benefits of index investing while accessing greater personalization and unlocking certain tax advantages. With direct indexing, clients own the actual components of an index as opposed to an ETF or mutual fund. This leads to more potential for tax loss harvesting and customization to suit a clients’ particular needs or construct a portfolio that aligns with their values. 

Finsum: Direct indexing is forecast to grow faster than many ETFs, mutual funds, and SMAs over the next 5 years. Here are some of the key reasons for its growth, and why advisors should pay attention.  

Decisions made by model portfolio managers are showing that investors are starting to get cautious about valuations of megacap tech stocks. These stocks have been the biggest gainers this year in the stock market. Tech stocks with market caps above a trillion dollars are up more than 50% YTD, while the S&P 500 is up 19%. 2 major catalysts for this group have been the perception that rates have peaked and a frenzy for securities connected to artificial intelligence. 

Of course, many market-cap weighted or tech-focused indices will have outsized exposure to this group. According to Brooks Friederich of Envestnet, an intermediary which operates a platform that offers customized products from asset managers, “End-clients are saying ‘I want an investment product that isn’t going to have all this exposure to the big-tech stocks,’ If you look at retirement portfolios, they all have too much exposure to that because of the construction of the market.”

He also adds that balanced portfolios continue to have appeal and are a major reason for the boom in model portfolios given the ease of combining asset classes. More than half of the assets on its platform are linked to 60/40 or 70/30 portfolios despite the poor performance of fixed income as a hedge against equities last year.  

Finsum: Model portfolio end-clients are showing some concerns about the valuations of megacap tech stocks, while remaining committed to balanced portfolios despite recent volatility. 

Oil prices were marginally higher headed into this week’s Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) meeting, following a decline upon the news that the meeting had been delayed. 

According to reports, this delay was due to divisions among OPEC members when it came to further production cuts and restrictions on output. It’s an indication of clashing interests and incentives. As a collective, OPEC’s best interest is to reduce output to ensure that oil prices stay as high as possible. As individual countries, each country is incentivized to produce as much oil as possible to maximize revenue.

Another factor weighing on oil prices is expectations that demand will be weaker than expected in 2024 due to a slowing global economy particularly in Europe and Asia. Deutsche Bank recently warned that there is a strong possibility that the US falls into a recession next year. China’s economy remains stagnant more than a year after Covid protocols have been relaxed. 

Iranian oil also continues to flood the market despite sanctions on these countries. Iranian production is reportedly at a 5-year high, although there are some who believe that sanctions may be more aggressively enforced due to the conflict in Hamas. 

Finsum: Crude oil prices have dropped $20 over the last few weeks. One factor has been a lack of unity among OPEC member nations around production cuts.