Bonds: Total Market
Amid a turbulent market and new U.S. tariff regime, actively managed ETFs like the T. Rowe Price Small-Mid Cap ETF (TMSL) are gaining appeal for their flexibility, research depth, and outperformance potential. TMSL, which has outperformed the Russell 2500 Index by 170 basis points year-to-date, exemplifies how active strategies can navigate uncertainty and respond to evolving risks and opportunities.
The new 10% blanket U.S. tariffs—unseen since 1946—have contributed to earnings downgrades and increased economic unpredictability, making adaptability a critical asset. Active managers can curate portfolios based on bottom-up analysis, selecting strong companies while avoiding those likely to underperform.
TMSL’s focus on small- and midcap firms adds sector diversification to tech-heavy portfolios, with leading exposures in industrials, financials, and healthcare.
Finsum: Its key to consider how fees play a role in active funds but many deliver well above depending on the economic environment.
After years of prioritizing safety, retirement savers are once again embracing market risk, as sales of variable annuities tied to investment fund performance surged in late 2024. According to Wink’s latest data, traditional variable annuity sales climbed 53% year over year to $18 billion, outpacing every other annuity category tracked.
Interest also rose in registered index-linked annuities, which mirror stock index performance, with sales growing 38% to $35 billion, while fixed indexed annuities grew by 22% to $32 billion. In contrast, demand dropped sharply for multi-year guaranteed annuities — down 45% to $29 billion — as fewer consumers sought fixed returns.
This rebound in market-linked products reflects renewed investor optimism but also hints at insurer caution, with some reallocating capital toward products that require less financial backing.
Finsum: Expiring surrender periods on older annuities may be freeing up funds for reinvestment, fueling the uptick in new variable annuity contracts.
In today’s market, financial advisors can show real value by building actively managed, customized portfolios using low-cost passive ETFs instead of pricier active funds. A core-and-satellite approach — with an S&P 500 ETF at the center and defensive sectors, bonds, and gold ETFs as satellites — has proven particularly effective in 2025, outperforming the broader market.
Strategic rebalancing between the outperforming satellites and a weakening core has been key to managing risk and enhancing returns. Defensive ETFs like XLP, XLU, and XLV, along with bond funds like AGG and SGOV and the gold-focused GLDM, have offered strong, risk-adjusted performance this year.
This flexible framework allows advisors to adjust portfolios to market conditions, client goals, or macroeconomic shifts while keeping costs low and transparency high.
Finsum: Ultimately, it strengthens the advisor’s role as an active, thoughtful manager of client wealth without relying on expensive fund managers.
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Cerulli Research highlights how the growing wealth of retail investors is pushing advisors to prioritize tax efficiency, with ETFs becoming an increasingly attractive structure. ETFs offer significant tax advantages, such as low turnover and minimized capital gains distributions, making them particularly appealing in today’s uncertain economic climate.
As a result, Cerulli expects more separately managed account (SMA) assets to shift into ETFs, driven by both tax benefits and operational efficiencies. High net worth advisors are also focusing more heavily on tax planning, with the percentage offering tax guidance rising sharply in recent years.
Despite the $2.7 trillion currently held in SMAs, advisors are steadily increasing their ETF allocations, especially at larger practices. However, barriers like the high cost of launching ETFs mean wealth management firms will need scale — and may increasingly turn to white-label providers for help — to fully capitalize on this shift.
Finsum: Separately managed accounts could definitely see a spike in popularity in the coming years given technological ease.
The rapid growth of open-end funds investing in illiquid assets—like real estate, private equity, and credit—has introduced both opportunity and fragility, particularly due to stale pricing risks that can lead to wealth transfers between investors.
Research shows that these funds often experience artificially smooth and lagged returns, which can mislead investors about actual performance and risk, enabling NAV-timing strategies that exploit predictable price movements. Spencer Couts and colleagues developed a more advanced return unsmoothing method to correct for spurious autocorrelation and better measure fund risk and performance, especially in highly illiquid private credit funds.
However, interval and tender-offer funds help manage these risks by limiting capital flows and allowing managers to avoid forced sales or purchases of illiquid assets.
Finsum: Pooling capital through regulated open-end structures with controlled liquidity offers a more stable way to invest in illiquid markets.
Blackstone beat first-quarter profit expectations, with distributable earnings rising 11% to $1.41 billion, or $1.09 per share, fueled by strong private equity and credit business performance. Despite the earnings beat, CEO Stephen Schwarzman cautioned that rising market volatility—driven largely by tariff uncertainty—may slow down asset sales in the near term.
The firm brought in $61.64 billion in inflows, with nearly half directed toward its credit and insurance segment, pushing assets under management to $1.17 trillion. While the private equity division posted a 13% increase in earnings thanks to $6.5 billion in asset sales, the real estate unit remained a drag with a 6% decline in AUM.
Schwarzman emphasized that a swift resolution to tariff disputes is vital to sustaining economic growth, echoing broader recession concerns from the business community. Despite turbulent markets, Blackstone sees potential in deploying its $177 billion in dry powder amid growing investor caution.
Finsum: Some alts will prove more fruitful in the face of tariffs but fund composition will matter greatly in the P/E space.