(Seattle)

There have been numerous articles covering it over the last few months, and it has caused some excitement and alarm in the market. The story? Amazon is going into healthcare. The hype started to build when Amazon received licenses to be a pharmaceuticals distributor. Now, Barron’s has published a piece explaining why Amazon sees an opportunity. The Internet of Things is supposed to transform the pharmaceutical and healthcare business and Amazon wants to be a part of that, especially now that it has the explicit goal of trying to lower healthcare costs in the US.

FINSUM: We think the high-minded goal of lowering healthcare costs needs to be thought of separately than Amazon’s interest in drug distribution. The fact is, the company sees a solid-margin business it can eat up with its logistics prowess.

(Atlanta)

There is a very particular kind of housing problem currently affecting the US—a serious shortage of homes at the lower end of the cost spectrum. Not only is inventory thin, but the housing stock available for first time buyers is in poor condition and prices are rising quickly (10% in the last year). The average starter home on the market is 9 years older than it was in 2012 and is 2% smaller. That price growth is outpacing other categories.

FINSUM: So the big worry we have is that with all the price appreciation happening, prices are more primed to fall considerably as rates hit a tipping point where they start to curtail mortgage borrowing.

(New York)

Those looking for signs of what will happen to the US economy would be wise to keep an eye on mortgage issuance. While the supply of homes is notoriously tight, many are worried that higher rates might doom the mortgage market. Well, despite several hikes in 2017, the year ended up being a very strong one for commercial mortgage issuance. Total commercial mortgage debt rose by $200 bn in the year to hit $3.18 tn total. It was the strongest year of mortgage debt growth since 2007.

FINSUM: This is one of the stats where you are not sure whether to be nervous or hopeful. On the one hand, it is good that issuance wasn’t dented by rate hikes, but on the other, the stats seem almost worryingly positive.

(New York)

Goldman Sachs is in the middle of beefing up its wealth management business. It is adding advisors and trying to boost AUM. The division is very small compared to competitors, but its advisors have very high average revenue ($4.5m vs $1.1m at Morgan Stanley). Now, it is also boosting its securities-based lending offering. Through a program called GS Select, the firm aggregates other wealth managers and makes loans of between $75k to $25m to their clients, all backed by the securities held in the portfolio of the borrower. The program was just joined by LPL, which is now one of 40 firms participating in GS Select.

FINSUM: Aggregating other wealth managers to provide lending sounds very profitable. Evidently GS is also allowing much smaller managers onto the platform.

(Washington)
Advisors should breath a sigh of relief today. Following the fiduciary rule’s resounding court defeat last week, the DOL has done what the industry has been hoping it would—accept the decision. Following the ruling, the DOL now says it will not enforce the fiduciary rule in any way. A DOL agency spokesman said clearly “Pending further review, the [Labor Department] will not be enforcing the 2016 fiduciary rule”. The DOL will also very likely not challenge the court’s ruling.

FINSUM: Given that this is an entirely new DOL versus the one that drafted the rule under Obama, their behavior makes total sense. The way is finally nearly cleared for a new rule.