FINSUM
Fixed Income Investors Should Stick to Short-Duration, High-Quality
It’s a challenging period for fixed income investors given uncertainties around the economic outlook and monetary policy. While some are making bold bets on whether inflation will perk up once again or the economy fall into a recession, CIBC recommends that investors embrace this period of ‘higher for longer’ by focusing on short duration and high quality bonds.
With this strategy, investors can take advantage of generous yields while shielding themselves from potential risks. In terms of the bank’s outlook, its base case remains a moderate slowdown and a mild recession. Yet, it believes that many of these risks have already been priced in which is one factor in its bullishness towards the asset class.
Due to recent data indicating a pullback in consumer spending, weakness in retail sales, and a slowdown in housing activity, the firm believes that recession is more likely than another period of spiking inflation. Further, credit card balances are rising, while excess savings from the pandemic have been basically depleted.
If this scenario were to materialize, inflation would likely trend lower which would give central banks more latitude to loosen policy and lead to price appreciation for fixed income.
Finsum: CIBC shared some thoughts on the economy and fixed income. It’s bullish on the asset class as it believes a mild recession is likely next year.
OPEC Sees Strong Demand, Calls for More Investments
Most analysts attribute the current strength in oil to production cuts and discipline exercised by OPEC countries in preparation for a global recession. However, demand has been resilient, contrary to expectations, even with a weak Chinese economy and rising recession risk in many parts of the world.
According to Haitham Al Ghais, the secretary general of OPEC+, demand is expected to grow by 2.4 million barrels per day over the next couple of years. While many are encouraging the group to increase production in order to provide relief to consumers and temper inflationary pressures, Al Ghais is more concerned about the decline in CAPEX in the oil & gas sector.
He believes this will lead to an unsustainably tight equilibrium that will be prone to supply shocks and potential shortages. He believes that many in the West are being naive about alternative energy given the world’s reliance on fossil fuels.
In essence, Al Ghais sees a bigger crisis looming given that he sees oil demand continuing to grow steadily while investments in future production have declined due to poor returns in the past and concerns that alternative energy will displace oil & gas. This is laying the seeds for a future energy crisis in his opinion.
Finsum: OPEC’s secretary general Haitham Al Ghais shared his thoughts on energy, and why he’s especially concerned about the lack of investment in new production.
Direct Indexing’s Advantages
Direct indexing is the convergence of two developments. One is that we increasingly live in a world of customization and personalization whether it comes to our newsfeeds, food orders, playlists, etc. The other is that research continues to show that most investors are better off investing passively rather than actively managing their portfolios.
At first glance, there seems to be a contradiction between these two notions. However, direct indexing manages to thread the needle by retaining the benefits of passive investing such as diversification and low costs while also allowing for customization in order to account for an investors’ goals and needs.
For instance, a tech executive may have outsized exposure to the industry due to some compensation in the form of stock options. In their own portfolio, they may look to reduce exposure to tech in order to create more diversification and dampen risk.
Another benefit is that capital gains losses can be more effectively harvested with direct indexing. This means that if the tech executive were to sell some of their stock options, then the tax bill can be lowered by applying harvested tax losses from the direct indexing portfolio.
Finsum: Direct indexing provides many advantages compared to passive or active management. Here are some of the benefits.
Bonding agent
If you’re tinkering with the idea of bonds, consider this: the challenges on the fixed income landscape, according to money.usnews.com. For those who aren’t initiated, individual bonds – which trade over the counter – it can be a tough road to hoe.
That’s where bonds funds come in. For investors, they’re an entrée to diversified bonds. And what about the complexities of direct bond investment? There are none.
"Given the higher risks and costs associated with portfolios of individual bonds, and the time they take to manage, most investors are better served by low-cost mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, or ETFs," said Chris Tidmore, senior manager at Vanguard's Investment Advisory Research Center. "This is particularly true in the case of municipal and corporate bonds, which are less liquid and harder to purchase than Treasury bonds."
Meantime, calling it a day was Eric Needleman, global head of Fixed Income, who plans to do so by year’s end, according to an announcement by Stifel Financial Corp., reported yahoo.com.
"We are deeply grateful for Eric’s dedication, leadership, and the lasting impact he has made on our firm,” said Stifel Chairman and CEO Ron Kruszewski. “He set a standard of excellence that will continue to define Stifel's approach to the fixed income business.”
Leader of the pack
You don’t have to double check a wealth of sources like wikepedia to ferret outthe meaning of succession plaining; it’s simply the way you pinpoint and developing your organization’s possible leaders in the making as well as key employees, according to linkedin.com.
It abets your ability to make sure you maintain continuity, hang onto talent and get ready for changes that weren’t expected. That said, succession planning recruiting posed challenges and is susceptible to mistakes.
How can you go about circumventing pitfalls and biases in the process? These strategies can help:
Assess your current and future needs
Develop a talent pool and a succession plan
Use objective and consistent methods
Involve multiple stakeholders and perspectives
Monitor and evaluate your results
Broadly speaking, talent development’s on the ascension – and fast – with succession planning squarely in the middle, according to sigmaassessmentsystems.com.
For senior managers and leaders of organizations who need to keep current on industry trends to help their team with the most effective and relevant growth opportunities, succession planning struts important implications.
SIGMA gathered a report on the State of Succession Planning for the year. Four emerging trends:
--Recruiting and retention of staff are the focus of most organizations
--Keeping up with Industry innovation’s key for many organizations to recognize
--Stepping up customer experience is a commitment among many leaders
--The transformation of their brand and culture’s a goal of a significant number of organizations
Each month, more than four million workers walked away from their job, according a 2021 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report.