FINSUM
The Best Interest Rule Will Be Implemented…
(Washington)
The SEC received over 6,000 comment letters in its public comment period for its new best interest rule. The regulator is currently reviewing those, but the big question is what is the rule’s implementation timeline? A top director at the SEC recently declined to comment on a timeline, saying “We are in the process of going through comments to see what changes if any we should be recommending”, but refused to give a date.
FINSUM: The anecdotal evidence and chatter we are hearing is that the SEC is going to try to move quickly to finalize and implement this rule. Stay tuned.
Bloomberg Weighs Presidential Odds Against Trump
(New York)
It looks like Michael Bloomberg, founder of the eponymous financial data firm, is eyeing a run at the White House. The move, which the Financial Times quipped was one New York Billionaire trying to replace another as president, surprises no one, as Bloomberg has been hinting at his run for some time. He has given over $100m to Democratic candidates for the midterm elections, something a staffer said was “a hell of a lot of IOUs”. Bloomberg will be 78 years old in 2020.
FINSUM: Speaking purely from a competitive standpoint, we have mixed feelings about whether he would be a good candidate for the Democratic party. On the one hand, he is more centrist than a lot of other Democrats, so could get some Republican votes. But on the other, he is also a New York billionaire, which could turn some off.
The Suitability Rule is on the Chopping Block
(Washington)
In a sign of just how wide-reaching the coming SEC Best Interest rule truly is, FINRA has just acknowledged that the Suitability Rule might be on the chopping block. FINRA’s Suitability Rule requires that brokers choose a product suitable for their client, but is a weaker standard than the proposed BI rule. “If [Regulation Best Interest] is adopted, then we would need to look at our rule set to see if any changes are appropriate … For example, is our suitability rule appropriate? But that is down the road. We need to see how Reg BI is adopted”, says Robert Cook, the CEO of FINRA.
FINSUM: This is not really a surprise, as the BI rule would basically make the Suitability Rule redundant. However, it is certainly a wake up call that things are changing quickly.
These ETFs are Safe from Rising Rates
(New York)
If rising rates weren’t scaring you a week ago, they surely are now, as the weight of rate rises has finally hit markets in a big way. With that said, here are some ETFs to help offset or benefit from rate hikes. Vanguard’s Short-Term Bond ETF (BSV) is a good bet, with an expense ratio of just 0.07% and a yield of about 3%. Another interesting one is the Invesco Senior Loan ETF (BKLN). The loans underlying this fund have their yields reset every 30 to 90 days, so your payout keeps rising with the market. The fund yields 4.19% and costs 0.65%. Lastly, take a look at the Fidelity’s Dividend ETF for Rising Rates (FDRR), which focuses on dividend growth stocks, a group that has historically performed well during periods of rising rates.
FINSUM: This a nice group of options, all of which are quite different from each other.
A Sure Sign Stocks are Fading
(New York)
One of the most ominous signs surrounding the equity market this year are the inflow numbers into stock funds. In 2017, $517.2 bn of new money flowed into US ETFs and mutual funds from the start of the year through September. This year that number is down by almost 50% for the same period, as only $281.7 bn has flowed in. Actively managed mutual funds are seeing net withdrawals. According to Deloitte “It feels like investors are in the early stages of positioning themselves for a potential downturn … [they] are returning to cash and relatively defensive positions”.
FINSUM: Retail inflows and outflows have never been a very good indicator of coming market performance (much like sentiment), so take these figures with a grain of salt.