FINSUM
Be Careful, Tech Isn’t as Resilient as it Looks
(San Francisco)
Many investors may have noticed that despite the big selloffs of the last two weeks, tech stocks have actually held up quite well. The sector is up 2.8% on the year versus an S&P 500 gain of just 0.2%. However, beware, as that number is largely an illusion. The reason why is that the vast majority of that performance comes down to Microsoft and Nvidia, which are up 5% and 20% this year.
FINSUM: The performance of tech during the recent downturn is largely an illusion, so investors need to be careful taking refuge in the sector.
Volatility is Back for Good
(New York)
It has been many years since we had significant and sustained volatility. Both 2011 and 2013 had significant moves, but it had been almost five years since the kind of eruption we saw over the last couple of weeks. It was an amazing 404 trading days that the market had gone without a 5% drop. Barron’s says investors need to get used to the recent discord, as the volatility is here to stay. The paper borrows its argument from equity research analysts who contend that market stability is impossible, and any semblance of it an illusion, as the very forces that try to promote stability, such as the Fed, ultimate drive volatility.
FINSUM: This is quite an esoteric argument, but the reality is that with the economy changing gears into a new paradigm, we are likely going to continue to have some bumps.
The SEC’s New Free Pass on Conflicts of Interest
(Washington)
The SEC says that a lack of fee disclosures related to conflicts of interest may be rife across the wealth management industry. Now the SEC is giving a free pass to those that have failed to disclose. So long as investors come clean and give money back to investors, they won’t be punished. The biggest abuses seem to be in the lack of disclosure of mutual fund fees, which goes against the rules laid out in the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. Those who come forward will not face civil monetary penalties, but that special treatment will only be for those who come forward voluntarily.
FINSUM: Hard to say how big of a problem this is. But it does sound like this might be a good way to clean up the issue quickly.
Inflation Data Might Cause a Renewed Plunge
(New York)
Investors need to be on red alert today, as this is the day markets have been waiting for. US inflation data for January comes out this morning, the piece of information which will either assuage or accelerate fears about pending Fed rate hikes and a possible recession. Not only will the data affect US markets, but if inflation accelerates, it will also impact other asset classes, such as the Dollar, and by extension, emerging markets.
FINSUM: If inflation is ahead of forecasts, or looks at all strong, it will likely panic markets. If it is weak, there may be a relief rally.
Here is Where Wells Fargo Says the Industry is Headed
(New York)
The president of Wells Fargo Advisors, David Kowach, shared his views on the industry yesterday. He says that advisors must embrace technology, bridge the generation gap, and become more professional in order to thrive. While some see technologies, like robo advisors or artificial intelligence, as a threat, Kowach says these may “displace lower-value activities, but not meaningful, deep client relationships and caring”. He says it is hard to disrupt advisors who really deeply understand their clients.
FINSUM: Pretty vague and bland platitudes about wealth management, but we thought some of our readers might like to hear them. We do agree that there is a human element to the client-advisor relationship which will be hard to disrupt.