Wealth Management
The Federal Reserve is clearly close to the end of its hiking cycle. Thus, there is more data dependency which is leading to big swings in the stock and bond markets following the release of economic data such as the CPI and the jobs report. According to Blackrock’s Rick Rieder, the CIO of Global Fixed Income, many market participants are making a mistake by over reacting and losing sight of the more durable and investable trends.
There have been several instances of misleading data. For instance, the ISM hit a contractionary level of 48 in January of this year which led many to believe that a recession was imminent. This has proven to be incorrect as the economy is forecasted to expand by 2% on a real basis this year. Weakness in manufacturing has been more than offset by strong household balance sheets, wage growth, and growth in services.
Reider also believes that investors should temper their urge to make bold predictions for 2024 or the long-term given the number of unpredictable forces of a historical nature, impacting the global economy. There is a wide range of possible outcomes and major potential ramifications in terms of geopolitics and financial markets, so it’s important to not fall prey to short-term volatility.
Finsum: Blackrock’s Rick Reider shared why investors shouldn’t overreact to economic data even though this is the temptation with the Fed close to the end of its hiking cycle.
Demand for annuities has soared along with rising rates. Owners of annuities, prior to 2021, would be very happy if they purchased variable annuities which increase along with inflation, while those with a fixed annuity would see the purchasing power of their income diluted by inflation.
Despite the risks, annuities are a great option for clients with low levels of risk tolerance and who value the certainty of having an income. The biggest benefit is for clients who don’t want to worry about not having enough income, or how the financial markets are performing.
According to Kirsty Anderson, the pensions specialist at M&G Wealth, “An annuity gives absolute certainty. You know exactly how much income you’ll receive, and you’ll receive this for the rest of your life – unless you’re purchasing a fixed term annuity.” Currently, the average annuity rate is 6.7%. This is nearly 50% more than the average rate since the financial crisis.
There is a wide variety of annuities to fit the needs of clients. Some options include varying durations, flexibility, and protection against inflation. Many clients will opt for a blended approach, when they use annuities to cover basic living expenses while keeping the remainder of their money invested in the markets.
Finsum: Annuity sales are strong due to high rates and nervousness about the economy and inflation. Here are some considerations for annuities in retirement planning.
Natixis Investment Managers conducted a survey with CoreData Research of more than 11,000 global investors in March and April of this year. It found that individuals invested in portfolios overseen by professional asset managers had less stress, were more trusting of advisors, and more financially confident.
Overall, the survey revealed that only 11% of model portfolio investors were stressed, while 23% of non-model portfolio investors were stressed. Additionally, 45% of model portfolio investors were confident about their finances while only 24% of non-model portfolio investors were.
The survey also revealed that 78% of model portfolio investors saw volatility as an opportunity. In contrast, only 47% of non-model portfolio investors felt the same. 70% of model portfolio investors felt that inflation meant it was time to invest more, in contrast to 40% of non-model portfolio investors.
For advisors, it’s particularly relevant that 97% of model portfolio investors trusted their financial advisors when making decisions in contrast to 73% of non-model investors who said the same.
However, only 51% of wealth managers and advisory practices in the US plan to offer third-party model portfolios.
The survey also revealed that model portfolios free up time for advisors by outsourcing portfolio management. This means more time for client services, financial planning, and prospecting.
Finsum: Natixis conducted a recent survey about model portfolios. Here are some of the major findings.
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Succession planning is increasing in importance given the aging of the industry. Succession planning is essentially a plan for the business beyond an advisors’ involvement. It’s also a contingency plan in the event of an unforeseen event. Currently, less than 30% of advisors have a firm succession plan in place. Here are some options when it comes to succession planning.
The first option is an internal transfer of clients and assets to the next generation. It requires both parties to agree upon a value for the practice. The drawback is that often there’s a large gap in this assessment. However, the upside is that the transition for clients has much less friction.
The next option is to sell the practice to an aggregator or integrator. These firms specialize in acquiring RIAs and are often funded by private equity. Typically, this involves giving up control of the business, meaning that the successor has less upside and control due to ownership being diluted.
Another option is to sell directly to a strategic buyer, which is often another financial institution or financial advisor practice. This entails some sort of transition period to merge operations, employees, and clients. It requires carefully choosing a successor and ensuring that the culture of the two firms can mesh.
Finsum: Succession planning is increasingly important for clients. Here are some of the most common types of succession plans.
Despite the pain and volatility of higher interest rates, fixed income issuance is continuing to expand at a healthy clip. Skeptics who are calling for the “death of bonds” are incorrect as the market continues to function well despite the bear market.
In 2022, global bond issuance was down by 20%. However, this is mostly attributed to above-average issuance during the period of extremely easy monetary policy in 2020 and 2021.
Now, fixed income sales are normalizing and forecasted to exceed $6 trillion by year-end. And issuance is set to increase even more next year. Over the next couple of years, trillions in corporate debt will need to be refinanced which will be the major driver of new issues.
On the demand side, interest in the asset class has surged due to yields at attractive levels while the economic outlook remains muddled. Many institutions are forced buyers of fixed income securities due to regulatory reasons. Additionally, proceeds from fixed income investments are also often re-invested.
Currently, the global bond market is worth $140 trillion which means that even with 2% yields, it would generate nearly $3 trillion in payments. Of course, this figure is much higher given that most yields are much higher, but it’s an indication of the bond market’s staying power.
Finsum: Fixed income deals with considerable volatility and looks set for its second straight losing year. Yet, the bond market continues to operate fine with minimal systemic risk.
For a financial advisors practice to grow and thrive, there must be a continuous flow of new leads. Many advisors waste significant amounts of time and energy pursuing ineffective lead generation strategies. Instead, advisors need to refine their strategy to ensure that they are getting results on their efforts to create a pipeline of prospects. Here are some tips to increase your chances of success.
You can establish trust with prospects by offering them something that is free and useful. This can include information in the form of content or directly answering questions around specific topics. This can take the form of blog posts, podcasts, or webinars.
Social media can also be a powerful tool to connect with prospects and share your message. However, it can often be inefficient so it’s important to ensure that you are spending time on the same platforms as your target client. It can also mean doing research on the right keywords to increase the visibility of your content.
Another source of leads is through your existing clients. Person to person recommendations remain the best source of warm prospects. You can simply ask them if they know anyone who is looking for help with their finances.
Finsum: Many advisors aspire to work with high-net-worth clients. Here are some tips to increase your chances of success.