(Washington)

The saga of the fiduciary rule seems to be never ending. Odysseas had an easier time. Now, just when things were starting to look clear—the DOL rule is effectively gone and the SEC has proposed a new one—everything is murky again. A senior figure, Michael Piwowar, at the SEC has just resigned. According to InvestmentNews, “Mr. Piwowar’s departure could significantly delay a rulemaking that already was projected to last for months — or make it impossible to complete”. Piwowar was a major ally of SEC chief Clayton, and now there are an equal number of Democrats to Republicans on the SEC commission. Trump could try to replace Piwowar and Democrat Kara Stein (whose term has lapsed) all at once, but the Senate would need to fast track approval.

FINSUM: Even if everything gets fast-tracked by Trump, the Senate needs to get the approval done, and that very well may not happen soon, especially because the Democrats might take the Senate back.

(New York)

Bloomberg has published a thoughtful and interesting article arguing that there is a little-known sign in the market that prices are likely to fall. This year’s trading activity has been in major contrast to the last few years, and not just because of more volatility. Rather retail investors have come back en masse. In the March of this year, retail trades from TD Ameritrade’s and E*Trade’s platforms accounted for more than 25% of all trading volume. Historically, investors coming back to the market is such fashion has been negative for prices.

FINSUM: If you combine this view with the reality that stocks have not really gained despite the best earnings season in many years, you do start to worry the bottom might be ready to fall out.

(New York)

There has been a lot of fear about bonds lately. Higher inflation readings, a more hawkish Fed, and 3% Treasury yields have gotten investors nervous. However, bonds might be in for some big gains, especially Treasuries. The reason why is that there is a huge pile of short positons held by hedge funds who are betting against Treasuries. Yet, yields have been stubborn over the last couple of weeks and now it appears the positon might be broken by a strong short squeeze that would send prices higher.

FINSUM: We had not paid much attention to this, but given the weak US inflation reading that has just been released, this may play out very soon.

(New York)

The industry has been talking about it for years, but now it appears to be happening in earnest—advisors are finally targeting younger clients in force. While Baby Boomers dominate the industry’s AUM right now, 42% of firms say they are actively changing their marketing and networking to attract Gen Xers and Millennials. TD Ameritrade comments that “In just five years, RIAs expect 41% of their clients to be Gen Xers or millennials. This should be a wake up call to those who think that Next Gen wealth is literally still a generation away”.

FINSUM: The tide is really starting to shift and it is going to happen faster and faster over the next few years as Baby Boomers age and the wealth of the young grows.

(San Francisco)

Sometimes a story is just so out there that you have to cover it, and today that story is about Uber. Last year a self-driving taxi fleet sounded progressive, but Uber announced this week that it is planning to launch a flying taxi service by 2023. The company is planning to work with NASA on an urban air traffic control system and it debuted a vision of greatly scaling up aircraft manufacturing. Uber believes airplanes could be built with such scale that the cost of a commute in a flying tax would be the same cost as their ground transportation today.

FINSUM: This is quite an ambitious vision! We suspect it will take at least a decade longer to achieve this plan, but it would certainly be revolutionary.