FINSUM
Bonds….James…..nah, but they could spell an uptick in real income
Few probably are pounding away for a repeat performance of the bond markets in the first half of the year. But an upbeat perspective among investors is warranted, according to corporate.vanguard.com. And, why, pre tell, is that? Bonds are on the precipice to dispense a spike in real income and restart their role of diversifying portfolios.
Even so, however, the road ahead is sprinkled with a plethora uncertainties and variables. The upshot: among other things, for another season, inflation seems bound to remain abnormally high.
At the same time, unlike the recent past, corporates, municipals, high yield, and emerging markets pose plenty of chances for growth.
Bloomberg Barclay’s US Aggregate Bond Index plunged 8.8% since January, according to fidelity.com. That was its steepest drop off in 40 years. What’s up? Investor trepidations over rising interest rates and the fear it could put a dent in the price tag on bonds. That usually translates into a drop in bond prices and rising bond yields.
However, it also could be where opportunity knocks. The Fed’s plan to revert rates to “more historically normal levels” could tee up a chance in bonds for may of those with an eye on income, principle protection and diversification in the second half of the year and more.
The new ETFs: industry expert places them in category of “sharp tools in the drawer"
Like easy? Launched earlier in the month, sole and institutional investors will experience an easier process to trade the most current benchmark U.S. Treasuries thanks to a new series of exchanged traded funds, according to reuters.com. It sheds on the maturing ETFs within the fixed income terrain.
While treasuries, of course, are among the bevy of the world’s most liquid securities, particularly for investors who need to frequently roll them over to sustain the maturity, trading them can be plodding.
"This gives (investors) a tool to say, we really want to focus on how we execute our investment strategy, as opposed to how effectively we trade Treasury bonds," said F/m President Alex Morris.
The new ETFs, which will eventually include more maturities, as well as options, will make it easier for people managing bond portfolios in a precise way, said Dave Nadig, director of research at ETF Flows.
"I put this in the category of sharp tools in the drawer," he said. "For most investors, I don't think it's relevant. For investors that need this product, it's a godsend."
Meantime, it’s largely been coming up roses for fixed income ETFs. Their ranks have swelled, piquing the interest of fresh investors, according to thestreet.com.
And talk about a high ceiling. Last month, the ETF industry hit a worldwide high of $862 billion in assets under management, shattering records. As of July 31 in this country, 706 ETFs from 22 providers drew $582 billion.
ESGs capture public eye
No, it seems the investment industry isn’t singularly focused on, well, the old bank account. Turns out that over the past few years, environmental, social, and governance or ESGs infiltrated and lassoed the conscious of the country – including the investment landscape, according to loma.org.
Of the $51.4 trillion assets professionally managed in the U.S. as 2019 wound down, $17.1 trillion represented sustainable investing assets, estimated The Forum for Sustainable and Responsible investment.
ESG 1.0 was marked by a top down approach to the implementation of ESG policies, according to forbes.com. Those policies don’t include a method by which to quantifiably gauge their effect. Those companies boasting a desire to satisfy consumer interests or taking a run at reversing public perception could forward their initiatives stemming from ESG with few methods available through which to fact check.
Investors see that one of the foremost challenges of the decade encompasses resolving the climate crisis, the site continued. From 2020 to 2021, the ESG experienced a doubling in funds – a trend expected to extend into the future. ESG assets will tip $30 trillion by 203, according to predictions in a report from Broadridge Financial Solutions.
Fixed Annuities Have Best Quarter Ever
According to LIMRA’s U.S. Individual Annuity Sales survey, U.S. annuity sales increased 16% to $79.4 billion during the second quarter. The top selling annuities were fixed-rated deferred annuities, which posted their best quarterly sales result ever. Sales came in at $28.7 billion, a jump of 79% from the prior year’s quarter. In fact, all fixed annuities showed positive growth. Fixed-rate deferred annuities are contracts that offer investors a fixed annual percentage yield with tax-deferred growth. They typically offer a higher rate of growth instead of an income stream over a specific period. The massive jump in sales can be attributed to the volatility in the markets this year and rising interest rates. The current average yield on a fixed-rate deferred annuity is around 3% or higher. Sales for traditional variable annuities didn't fare so well, falling 27% year over year to $16.5 billion, the lowest quarterly sales since 1995 due to market volatility. Variable annuities are tied to the market with no downside protection.
Finsum:Driven by market volatility, sales for fixed-rate deferred annuities had their highest quarter ever.
Jefferies Warns Investors About Small-Cap Tech Stocks
Analysts at Jefferies are warning investors to avoid small-cap tech stocks due to their high valuations and falling earnings and revenue estimates. In a note, analysts said that their current valuations of 3.4 times sales are not cheap compared to their long-term average of 2.1 times sales. They believe there are “too many nonearners” and then tend to perform poorly when the Fed is hiking interest rates. However, the analysts aren’t telling investors to avoid small-cap stocks altogether, as they like names in the healthcare and consumer-discretionary sectors, which have been outperforming. Analysts stated that valuations in healthcare stocks haven’t jumped as much as their stock performance. Plus, mergers and acquisitions have picked up in the healthcare sector, which the analysts believe could help drive performance. They also believe that discretionary stocks are the cheapest sector in the small-cap range and they tend to outperform when coming out of bear markets.
Finsum:Jeffries analysts are warning investors to steer clear of small-cap tech stocks due to high valuations and falling earnings and revenue estimates.