Displaying items by tag: precious metals

Gold and silver prices fell following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement, as Jerome Powell’s hawkish comments sparked uncertainty over future rate cuts. Analysts say gold remains the traditional safe-haven asset, performing well during inflation and economic instability, with strong support from central bank and investor demand. 

In contrast, silver’s dual role as an industrial and investment metal makes it more volatile, closely tied to sectors like solar energy and electronics. Experts suggest gold’s stability makes it ideal for conservative, long-term investors, while silver offers higher risk and potential reward during industrial recoveries. 

They advise balancing both metals based on market conditions, gold for protection, silver for growth. 

Finsum: Ultimately, portfolio weighting, not outright preference, should guide investors in the post-Fed environment.

Copper prices rose about 2% Wednesday after Freeport-McMoRan warned of major production losses from the suspension of its Grasberg Block Cave mine in Indonesia following a deadly mud rush. 

Operations remain halted after two workers were killed and five remain missing, cutting Q3 copper and gold sales by about 4% and 6% versus prior estimates. The impact will be harsher in Q4, with PT Freeport Indonesia’s copper and gold output expected to be negligible compared with forecasts. 

Looking ahead, 2026 production could fall 35% below prior projections, with a full return to pre-incident levels unlikely before 2027. Freeport expects its Big Gossan and Deep MLZ mines to restart later this year, while Grasberg’s phased ramp-up begins in 2026, and it has declared force majeure with insurance recovery capped at $700 million. 

Finsum: The disruption at one of the world’s largest copper mines comes as global supplies remain tight, further lifting copper prices.

Gold futures spiked sharply above spot prices after reports suggested the U.S. would impose unexpected tariffs on 1 kg and 100 oz bars, a major disruption for Switzerland, the global refining hub. 

These bar sizes are central to U.S. trading, and the sudden policy shift triggered short-covering and a widening of the exchange-for-physical (EFP) spread, echoing past dislocations during COVID and earlier tariff fears. The turmoil has raised doubts about the reliability of New York futures markets for price discovery, as policy volatility increasingly distorts trading signals. 

Meanwhile, the December gold contract hit a record $3,534, but analysts caution that spot prices, not futures, reflect gold’s real value. A similar drama unfolded in copper markets, where a tariff scare caused prices to soar—only to collapse when Trump reversed course. 

Finssum: Heavy trader losses, bloated U.S. inventories, and mounting questions about the integrity of U.S. commodity pricing amid tariff uncertainty are the result.

Gold-backed ETFs saw their biggest first-half inflow since early 2020, as investors flocked to the metal amid global trade tensions and economic uncertainty. According to the World Gold Council, physically backed gold ETFs attracted $38 billion in inflows from January to June 2025, lifting total holdings by 397.1 metric tons to 3,615.9 tons. 

This surge was largely driven by concerns over U.S. tariff policies under President Trump, prompting a shift toward safe-haven assets. U.S.-listed funds led with 206.8 tons added, while Asia-listed ETFs set a regional record with 104.3 tons—accounting for 28% of global flows despite managing just 9% of global gold ETF assets. 

The rebound follows modest inflows in 2024 and reverses a three-year trend of outflows tied to high interest rates. Spot gold prices have surged 26% this year, reaching an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce in April.

Finsum: Gold ETFs are a great way to get exposure and get an inflation hedge in case tariffs cause a spike. 

So far in 2025, silver has climbed over 20%, breaking through $36 per ounce in early June for its highest price in 13 years, while gold has also soared, reaching a record $3,500 in April and gaining nearly 28% year to date. Both metals have attracted investors seeking safety amid global uncertainty, with gold up 47% from June 2024 to June 2025 and silver rising 23% in the same period. 

Analysts see reasons for silver to potentially outperform gold later this year, pointing to strong industrial demand, ongoing supply deficits, and its status as a leveraged monetary hedge. 

Bank of America forecasts silver reaching $40 and gold $4,000 by year-end, while other experts predict silver could even break $49 per ounce by 2025. However, risks remain, including a possible global recession reducing industrial demand, a stronger dollar, and the impact of high interest rates that could hurt all precious metals. 

Finsum: While gold’s rally might be priced in, silver’s combination of industrial and monetary appeal could help it close the gap in the coming months.