(Washington)
Every year around this time, advisors can get a special look at what the SEC’s policy priorities are likely to be for the rest of the year. This takes on special significance this year since we have a new administration in place. The way to get the insight is to look at what focus the SEC applies to their regulatory exams, and this year they are quite interesting. SEC exams for 2021 will focus on Reg BI (not such a surprise), but also climate, ESG, and Crypto, among other topics.

FINSUM: Quite an interesting list, but one very notable absence: meme stocks/social media. This is important because some think the SEC will turn its gaze to that area, which might have delayed focus on Reg BI.

(New York)

Annuities have been doing very well ever since the pandemic began, and the reasons make total sense: high volatility and ultra-low rates which have rendered bonds a very poor source for retirement income. With that in mind, it is no wonder that protection-focused annuities have been seeing heightened sales. 2020 actually saw a significantly higher volume of protection-focused annuities sales than 2019, despite the fact that overall wealth and liquidity fell considerably at the start of the pandemic. The big driver of demand was the huge fall stock indexes experienced early in the pandemic.

FINSUM: This makes a lot of sense as a huge percentage of Americans are approaching retirement and 2020’s market gave them a terrible fright. We expect this trend to continue.

(New York)

You have probably seen a few articles floating around, but the last several weeks have really hammered it home: we are at the precipice of a new commodities supercycle. The pandemic brought on a huge fall in commodities prices because of a tumble in demand. But as the economy is heating back up, demand is jumping and supply is not matching it. Raw materials demand has surged across the board. Most have been paying attention to oil prices, but check out others like copper and metals. Goldman sees the dawn of a new decade-long demand surge akin to what happened between 2000 and 2010, when the rise of emerging markets/BRICS drove huge raw materials consumption. This time around Goldman says that the green industrial revolution will create a “capex cycle” on part with what happened to emerging markets in the 2000s.

FINSUM: The bank also argues that social and tax policies that are favoring income redistribution to poorer households is bullish for commodities since those households tend to spend a higher percentage of it.

(New York)

All the regulatory focus recently has been on the SEC and DOL, and understandably so. However, FINRA plays a big role in the lives of RIAs and BDs, and it looks poised to make a big move. FINRA is currently examining Reg BI and seeing if they believe it applies to the meme stock trading situation. In particular, FINRA is considering whether new regulations need to be put in place that govern self-directed trading which is not covered by Reg BI. FINRA says it is “committed to supporting the SEC staff’s review (announced in October 2020) of the increase in self-directed trading by retail investors that is not covered by Reg BI, and the effectiveness of existing regulatory requirements in protecting investors in those circumstances”.

FINSUM: This is still in the early stages so it is hard to tell the extent to which it may affect advisors, but it is certainly something to keep an eye on.

(New York)

What is the biggest challenge for retirement in the current era? The answer is time: people are living longer than ever, which means they need long periods of consistent income. Long term consistent income in retirement is a challenge because people need to set enough money aside and be disciplined to not withdraw too much. With all that in mind, annuities play a very special role, as they provide guaranteed income and at the same time, keep a lid on the pace of distributions, which means money will pay out throughout the entirety of retirement. Bonds used to play this role, but given ultra-low rates and high prices, they simply no longer do.

FINSUM: Given the volatility in stocks and the low rates and overvaluation in bonds, annuities have a very strong role to play in almost any portfolio.