FINSUM
Natixis Bullish on Model Portfolios in 2024
Natixis Investment Managers issued its outlook for 2024. It notes that cash levels are higher than normal due to volatility and uncertainty. However, it does believe that some of this cash will be put to work in model portfolios.
Overall, it sees uncertainty continuing given a tense geopolitical situation in multiple parts of the world, an upcoming presidential election, and the risk that the economy stumbles into a recession. But these conditions are positive for fixed income given attractive yields, falling inflation, a more accommodative Federal Reserve, and equity valuations which are once again getting expensive.
According to Marina Gross, the head of Natixis Investment Managers Solutions, model portfolios are one of the biggest trends in wealth management. She notes that “Firms are looking to provide a more consistent investment experience for clients in an increasingly complex market, advisors are looking to grow their practices and know clients want more than an allocation plan, and clients are looking for broader more comprehensive relationships with their advisors. Models offer a solution that fits the bill for each in 2024 and beyond.”
Model portfolios are particularly suited for the current environment as they help manage risk and increase the chance that clients will stick to their financial plan through market turbulence. For advisors, it leads to more confident clients while freeing up time for revenue-generating and business-building efforts.
Finsum: Natixis is forecasting that model portfolios will continue to gain traction in 2024. Given high levels of uncertainty, model portfolios are particularly useful for advisors and clients. .
Unlocking the Fixed Annuity: Beyond All-or-Nothing Thinking
Financial advisors understand that fixed annuities often face a perception hurdle. Their clients envision handing over most of their hard-earned wealth and relinquishing control, sacrificing legacy for guaranteed income. But this all-or-nothing perspective overlooks the nuanced role these annuities can play in a diversified financial plan.
Speaking at a Morningstar conference, Wade D. Pfau, PhD, CFA, RICP®, founder of Retirement Researcher, offered his suggestions to advisors. "The idea of a tradeoff between meeting a spending goal versus not being able to provide a legacy is misguided," he said. "With the conversation around annuities, it's important to remember it's not all or nothing. It's not, 'Do I put everything in the annuity, or do I put everything in investments?'"
Helping clients see fixed annuities as part of a balanced approach is essential. By providing a secure income floor, fixed annuities enable the remaining parts of the portfolio to meet their other financial objectives, such as growth and flexibility.
Building a portfolio need not be a zero-sum game. Fixed annuities don't have to steal the show – they can be valuable supporting actors, providing income stability while the rest of the investments shine in their own respective roles.
Finsum: Retirement expert helps advisors broaden their perspective on how to discuss fixed annuities with their clients.
Will Value Stocks Take Center Stage if the Economy Enters Recovery Mode?
As the Federal Reserve's battle against inflation unfolded, recessionary fears loomed large over the US economy. However, whispers of a "soft landing" – a scenario where the economy treads water instead of diving into recession – are gaining traction. While the future remains uncertain, this potential reprieve raises critical questions for investors: how will markets react, and could value stocks thrive in this environment?
Drawing from historical patterns, experts point towards a potentially favorable landscape for value stocks. Vanguard's mid-2023 report revealed a compelling trend: since 1979, value stocks have outperformed their growth counterparts during economic recoveries. Kevin DiCiurcio, CFA, head of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model® research team, underscores this historical relationship: "On average, value has outperformed during economic recoveries, historically speaking. So, if you believe that the Federal Reserve may have engineered a soft landing—that we're going to sidestep a recession and that the economy's next move is an acceleration—the case for value is strengthened."
While past performance isn't a guaranteed predictor of future returns, the allure of historical rhyme resonates in uncertain times. If the economy begins to climb out of its current lull, advisors and investors should keep a sharp eye on value stocks.
Finsum: Learn why some experts are revisiting value investing’s historical performance advantage during periods of economic recovery.
Separately Managed Accounts Continue to Scoop Up Assets
Separately Managed Accounts (SMAs) are widening their niche in the investment landscape, doubling assets under management to nearly $2 trillion in the past five years (according to Cerulli Associates). This rapid growth stems from their distinctive advantages over traditional options like mutual funds. SMAs offer direct ownership of underlying securities, personalized portfolio construction, and professional oversight, all within a flexible framework that enables personalized tax efficiency.
And they are projected to continue to grow, reaching $3 trillion in the next few years. In a recent Wall Street Journal article, Scott Smith, director of advice relationships at Cerulli, explains why SMAs are growing. “They are no longer just for high-net-worth individuals. As more baby boomers retire and have to move money from their 401(k) plans, SMAs have become an attractive option.”
While this tailored approach resonates with certain investors, particularly retiring baby boomers and those seeking strategic tax management, SMAs are not a universal solution. Consulting a financial advisor remains crucial to assess individual needs and weigh advantages against potential drawbacks. For instance, while the ability to harvest specific tax losses can be invaluable, it may hold little weight for investors with limited capital gains.
Finsum: Separately Managed Accounts doubled assets under management in the past five years and are projected to continue their steady growth.
What’s Behind the Squeeze in Uranium?
A noteworthy development in 2024 has been soaring uranium prices. The radioactive metal was up more than 90% in 2023 and is now at its highest levels since 2007. According to Ole Hansen, the head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, this move is being driven by increased demand from ETFs holding physical inventory and utilities who were not hedging due to years of low prices.
Prices moved past $100 per pound last week following an announcement from Kazakhstan's state uranium company that it may fail to meet production goals due to construction delays and difficulty sourcing raw materials. This follows a slew of production downgrades from a variety of producers in 2023, adding to pressure on the supply side.
On the demand side, analysts point to the Sprott Physical Uranium Trust and Yellow Cake as marginal sources of gold demand, contributing to the ‘squeeze’. As a result, many now expect uranium to exceed all-time highs from June 2007 of $136 per pound, and uranium miner equities have also been following the metal higher.
Longer-term, many believe that the uranium market is at a deficit given the gap between yearly production and consumption. Currently, the gap has been made up by huge amounts of secondary supply, yet this inventory is also rapidly being depleted.
Finsum: Uranium prices have continued momentum from last year. Many believe new, all-time highs are in store given increased demand from ETFs and utilities, while production is impaired.