JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon cautioned that inflation risks remain elevated and markets are too complacent, despite the recent tariff pause between the U.S. and China. Speaking at JPMorgan’s investor day, he emphasized the potential for stagflation—sluggish growth, high unemployment, and persistent inflation—as more likely than many assume. 

While markets rallied on the news of tariff reductions, Dimon noted that the economic impact of still-high duties has yet to fully hit. 

JPMorgan lowered its recession odds for 2025 to 50%, but warned that unresolved trade tensions could reignite instability. Experts echoed that the current tariff rollback is temporary, and the underlying threat of renewed trade conflict looms. 

Finsum: Dimon’s remarks suggest investors are underestimating long-term risks, particularly if inflationary pressures persist amid constrained economic growth.

Large-cap growth funds have recently delivered strong returns, with an average gain of 16.77% over the past year and standout performances from Fidelity, Vanguard, and Loomis Sayles offerings. 

Fidelity Advisor New Insights and Contrafund, managed by veteran Will Danoff, ranked among the top five funds, with returns exceeding 18% annually over the past five years. Loomis Sayles Growth Fund posted the highest three- and five-year gains, driven by a disciplined process and long-term investment strategy. 

Vanguard’s Growth Index and Mega Cap Growth Index funds also performed well, offering low-cost, passive exposure to top-performing large-cap growth stocks. Despite their success, these funds come with risks like high concentration in mega-cap stocks and share class accessibility issues for individual investors. 

Finsum: As interest rates remain high that could provide a relative advantage to large caps over small caps. 

Private credit managers often tout their locked-up capital as a key strength, insulating them from the kind of liquidity runs that plagued banks like Silicon Valley Bank. However, the rise of evergreen vehicles—funds allowing periodic redemptions—has introduced new vulnerabilities, especially as firms like Blackstone and Apollo have raised nearly $300 billion from retail investors. 

While evergreen funds offer some liquidity and mass appeal, especially through wealth advisors, their structure forces managers to continuously invest and meet redemptions, reducing the strategic flexibility that once defined private credit’s advantage. 

This could erode returns, particularly if managers are pressured to lend during inopportune times or sell illiquid assets at discounts to meet withdrawals. Though redemptions are capped and many investments naturally mature over time, a crisis could still lead to redemption surges that slow new lending and strain fund performance. 

Finsum: As evergreens attract less experienced investors and chase more capital, the sector risks undermining its own resilience unless managers remain disciplined and transparent.

As market volatility rattles investors, many are turning to buffer ETFs—funds that limit downside losses in exchange for capped upside gains. These products, offered by firms like Innovator, BlackRock, and Allianz, use options strategies to provide partial protection during market downturns, making them especially appealing during recent selloffs.

In the first months of the year, buffer ETFs attracted nearly $5 billion in inflows, with a sharp pickup in demand during periods of steep market declines, such as the S&P 500’s worst day in 2024. 

While financial advisors increasingly recommend buffer ETFs to nervous clients seeking equity exposure with built-in protection, critics point to their higher fees and reduced potential for gains in strong bull markets. The upside cap investors receive often shrinks in volatile environments, making the cost of protection steeper just when it feels most necessary. 

Finsum: For those prioritizing risk management over maximum returns, buffer ETFs offer a middle ground—at a price.

Blackstone has officially closed its fourth energy-transition-focused private equity fund, BETP IV, at its hard cap of $5.6 billion—marking a 33% increase over its previous fund. The firm’s Energy Transition Partners platform targets scalable investments that promote cleaner, more reliable, and affordable energy solutions across global markets. 

BETP has received multiple industry honors, including being named Private Equity International’s Energy Private Equity Firm of the Year for three consecutive years and winning IJ Investor’s 2024 Market Innovation of the Year for North America. David Foley, who leads the platform globally, highlighted strong investor confidence and the growing demand for electricity and grid efficiency as key drivers behind the fund’s momentum. 

Notable portfolio companies include Energy Exemplar, Sediver, Lancium, and Trystar—each playing a role in boosting grid resilience, energy modeling, and infrastructure. Blackstone has over $23.5 billion deployed globally.

Finsum: Private equities investment in energy solutions is something to keep an eye on in the new administration.