Emerging market bonds are offering a compelling opportunity for investors to lock in attractive yields while also having the potential for price appreciation. While there are many ways for investors to get exposure, the Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF (VWOB) is one of the most liquid and diversified options. It currently pays a yield of 6.8% with an expense ratio of 0.20% and tracks the Bloomberg USD Emerging Markets Government RIC Capped Index.

Investing in emerging markets certainly means more risk due to lower credit quality, however the fundamentals are supportive of continued strong performance in 2024, while macro trends are favorable. JPMorgan estimates that emerging market economies will expand 3.9% this year, outpacing the 2.9% growth rate of developed market economies. It sees lower inflationary pressures due to weaker commodity prices which means that emerging market central banks should be able to cut rates, generating a tailwind for emerging market debt.  

In 2023, emerging market bonds were up 11%. JPMorgan is forecasting that the category should also have double-digit returns in 2024. It believes the major risk to this outlook is inflation not falling as expected which limits the ability of central banks to cut rates, especially since the market has already priced in modest easing. 

Finsum: Emerging market debt has major upside for 2024 due to attractive yields, strong fundamentals, and expectations that interest rates will be lowered. 

In 2023, despite upheaval in the banking sector particular with the key industry figure First republic, advisor recruiting remained robust, indicating resilience in the financial advisory industry. 

The tumultuous environment in banks likely spurred advisors to seek stability and growth opportunities elsewhere. This trend is expected to continue in the current year, with more advisors exploring moves to firms offering better support and prospects for their practices. 

The allure of independence and the ability to provide personalized service to clients continue to drive advisors away from traditional banking institutions. Firms that prioritize advisor support and flexibility are likely to attract a significant share of talent in the upcoming months. Amidst ongoing industry shifts, the importance of robust support systems and adaptable business models cannot be overstated for both advisors and the firms competing to recruit them.

Finsum: Advisors are making changes in 2024 mirroring the flexibility desired in many other job categories. 

Alternative investing was ascendant following 2022 when both stocks and bonds were down double-digits. The asset class proved its worth as it delivered positive returns while reducing portfolio volatility. 

2023 has followed a different script as the S&P 500 finished the year at new all-time highs, gaining 24%. Bonds also finished the year with healthy gains while continuing to provide attractive levels of income for investors.

Yet, there are no indications that demand for alternative assets is eroding. In fact, many wealth managers are now recommending an allocation of between 15% and 25%. According to Paul Camhi, a senior financial advisor at The Wealth Alliance, “Even after a great 2023 for stocks and bonds, we still believe that owning alternative investments as part of a properly diversified portfolio makes sense. We include these strategies as part of our strategic, long-term allocation, not as tactical short-term investments.”

Additionally, a survey of advisors by iCapital revealed that 95% plan to increase or maintain current levels of exposure. The survey also showed that 60% of advisors expect alternatives to outperform public markets this year. Within alternatives, private credit has seen the largest share of inflows. Buffered ETFs are also increasingly popular, especially for retired investors as they provide protection during periods of elevated volatility while still providing upside exposure during bull markets. 

Finsum: Alternative investments continue to see healthy inflows despite the strong performance of equities and bonds. Many now see continued benefits as it provides differentiated returns and diversification to portfolios.

Last week, the Nasdaq made an all-time high pushing past its previous highs from January 2022. This was before the Federal Reserve embarked on an aggressive campaign of rate hikes to curb inflation. In one respect, the tech-heavy Nasdaq is playing catch-up with the S&P 500 which has been setting new record highs over the last couple of months and is now more than 10% above its January 2022 levels.

While a major component of these advances is due to the strength in the 7 largest technology stocks and frenzy around the AI boom, it’s worth noting that the equal-weighted indices for the Nasdaq and S&P 500 also made new, all-time highs as well. It’s an indication that the bull market is expanding in terms of participation. It also leads to the conclusion that the market is strong from a bottom-up perspective as well.

Another way to assess the market’s strength from a bottom-up perspective is corporate earnings. With Q4 earnings season nearly in the books, it’s clear that earnings remain robust despite a host of macro headwinds. So far, 97% of S&P 500 companies have reported. 73% topped earnings expectations, while 64% exceeded revenue estimates. Overall, earnings were up 4% compared to last year, marking the second consecutive quarter of earnings growth, validating the bullishness of investors. 

Finsum: The stock market is making all-time highs consistently in 2024. The strength goes beyond the ascendant tech sector as equal-weighted indices are hitting new highs, while corporate earnings continue to grow despite an array of headwinds. 

While portfolio construction is crucial for achieving client investment goals, it's merely one facet of a successful financial advisor-client relationship. A deeper understanding of the client's life circumstances and how their investment objectives fit into their overall financial picture is equally important for fostering trust and long-term engagement.

Time constraints often lead advisors to outsource portfolio construction, allowing them to dedicate more time to relationship building. Delegating this task can prove to be a win-win for both parties. The client gets professional investment management from an entity whose sole job it is to maintain their portfolio. And the advisor has more time to be there for their clients when they truly need them.

However, even with outsourcing, advisors must understand the client's portfolio construction and ongoing management comprehensively. Overreliance on outsourced services can lead to losing track of the intricate details of the investment process.

Ultimately, the client relies on the advisor to bridge the knowledge gap between their financial goals and the details of portfolio implementation. By remaining knowledgeable and engaged, advisors can effectively represent their client's best interests and build a robust and enduring partnership.

Finsum: Advisors outsourcing portfolio construction benefit from more time to build client relationships, but they still need to keep up with the details of the investment management of client accounts.