Displaying items by tag: stimulus
How to Adapt as China Pulls the Reins on Stimulus
(Beijing)
The U.S. is set to ramp up its stimulus efforts as it passes the Biden Administrations' $1.9 trillion covid relief package. China, however…view the full story on our partner Magnifi’s site
Putnam Warns Fresh Stimulus is a Huge Risk to Markets
(New York)
Despite all fears, markets had a fairly strong year in 2020. Why? See the full story on our partner Magnifi’s site.
Why the Biden Administration May Be Bad for Gold
(New York)
Gold has been hurting recently, with prices currently around $1,800 after some strong gains over the course of 2020. The big question is where gold is headed now that the vaccine is rolling out and a new administration is coming in. See the full story here on our partner Magnifi's site.
Big Banks Say the S&P 500 Will Surge in 2021
(New York)
One of the big annual market traditions has begun: banks and their analysts put of their year-ahead forecasts. This year has seen a wide range of forecasts, but one thing is becoming apparent—analysts are bullish, and more so than usual. Jefferies has the most aggressive forecast, saying the S&P 500 will close 2021 at 4,250; it is at 3,662 now. Analysts are bullish because of the coming vaccine and central banks which will continue to be accommodative. However, Barclays adds a third consideration—that the economy is doing much better than anyone thought it would be at this point. According to Barclays “with central banks set to remain accommodative for several years, a likely drop in global trade tensions, and unappetizing fixed income returns, we remain overweight risk assets over core bonds”.
FINSUM: Yes valuations are high, but given the overall economic position the US is in (including the vaccine), it is hard not to be optimistic.
Why 2021 Will Be Very Bullish for Investors
(New York)
A top Wall Street research team at BTIG has just said that 2021 is going to be a strong year for markets. They view the current volatility in equities as a good buying opportunity. In either a Trump or Biden win, the economy is probably going to receive additional COVID stimulus, as well as further spending, such as an infrastructure bill. Investors are so focused on the risks associated with the election that they have lost sight of the fact that either outcome will likely be positive for the economy and markets.
FINSUM: We tend to agree with this view, even though it is simplistic. In either outcome, both sides of the aisle will probably be served by being more collaborative than at present, so more economic stimulus is coming.