Displaying items by tag: pe

Over a 27-year period ending in Q3 2024, Cliffwater found that U.S. buyouts (private equity) consistently traded at a 29% EBITDA multiple discount relative to public equities, contributing significantly to private equity’s historical outperformance. This discount, combined with higher earnings yields and potential valuation convergence, helped private equity deliver a 6% gross return premium, which nets to about 2.2% after fees compared to public markets. 

Several structural tailwinds reinforce private equity’s appeal, including a shrinking pool of public companies, persistently low credit spreads, and extreme valuation gaps between large-growth and small-value stocks. 

These valuation disparities, combined with the relative strength of the U.S. dollar, give large-cap firms and private equity buyers strategic advantages in acquiring smaller domestic and foreign targets. Meanwhile, the sluggish IPO and M&A markets in 2025 have led to a spike in discounted private equity secondary sales, offering further entry points for opportunistic investors. 

Finsum: Despite recent macro headwinds, these intersecting forces create a compelling backdrop for private equity to continue outperforming.

Blackstone beat first-quarter profit expectations, with distributable earnings rising 11% to $1.41 billion, or $1.09 per share, fueled by strong private equity and credit business performance. Despite the earnings beat, CEO Stephen Schwarzman cautioned that rising market volatility—driven largely by tariff uncertainty—may slow down asset sales in the near term. 

The firm brought in $61.64 billion in inflows, with nearly half directed toward its credit and insurance segment, pushing assets under management to $1.17 trillion. While the private equity division posted a 13% increase in earnings thanks to $6.5 billion in asset sales, the real estate unit remained a drag with a 6% decline in AUM. 

Schwarzman emphasized that a swift resolution to tariff disputes is vital to sustaining economic growth, echoing broader recession concerns from the business community. Despite turbulent markets, Blackstone sees potential in deploying its $177 billion in dry powder amid growing investor caution.

Finsum: Some alts will prove more fruitful in the face of tariffs but fund composition will matter greatly in the P/E space. 

Private equity thrived during the low-interest-rate era, leveraging debt to enhance returns, but changing financial conditions are testing its resilience. While assets under management continue to grow, firms are struggling to deploy capital and exit investments, with a rising backlog of unsold assets. 

Higher interest rates have complicated deal economics, and a shifting IPO landscape has limited traditional exit strategies. Regulatory scrutiny, particularly on antitrust grounds, has also slowed transactions, making liquidity harder to generate. 

Despite these challenges, liquidity remains accessible through dividend recapitalizations and secondary sales, suggesting the industry’s issues are cyclical rather than existential. 

Finsum: If we are entering a more volatile financial era, private equity’s debt-driven model may need to adapt to a world less favorable to leverage.