Displaying items by tag: liquidity

According to Pensions & Investments' annual survey of index managers, worldwide indexes managed in exchange-traded funds and exchange-traded notes have fared much better than index assets in other wrappers. Worldwide index assets managed in ETFs and ETNs totaled $6.51 trillion as of June 30th, down 4.8% from $6.84 trillion last year. Worldwide index assets overall fell 12.7% to $18.23 trillion. Exchange-traded products continued to see strong inflows despite headwinds such as inflation, rate hikes, and stock and bond losses. In fact, the global ETF industry saw its 40th straight month of net inflows during September and is on pace for annual net inflows that will be second to only last year's record of $1.29 trillion according to research and consultancy firm ETFGI LLP. Emily Foote McKinley, Head of Institutional Specialists for ETFs and Indexed Strategies at Invesco Ltd explained why ETFs continue to see strong inflows this year. She told Pensions & Investments, "I think that we've always seen the biggest pickups in institutional usage of ETFs around and after times of severe market volatility. That's because the ETF wrapper is able to prove itself as a provider of liquidity and access and transparency to underlying markets in times of crisis."

Finsum:ETFs continue to see massive inflows this year despite market volatility due to the wrapper’s ability to provide institutional investors with liquidity and transparency. 

Yields on developed market government bonds have been soaring this year, as a result of higher inflation, sharp rate hikes, and quantitative tightening. The latter of which is what has traders nervous right now. The Federal Reserve is looking to increase the pace of winding down its nearly $9 trillion balance sheet, while the European Central Bank has also been looking to shrink its €5 trillion bond portfolio. Central banks built up their balance sheets with bond purchases to help provide a stimulus for the economy, but with the current high inflation, banks are now looking to sell those bonds. With the bond market already facing pressure due to the rate hikes, further quantitative tightening could make trading even more difficult by worsening liquidity and increasing volatility. The Bank of England has already been forced to delay its quantitative tightening due to turmoil in the UK bond market. That turmoil, which also spread to the U.S. and European bond markets, has only added to the liquidity and volatility concerns.

Finsum:An increase in Quantitative Tightening by central banks could lead to more volatility in the bond markets.

According to an index that measures Treasury market volatility, bond volatility is at a level not seen since the peak of the COVID market crisis in March 2020. This is a worrisome sign that the Treasuries markets, which are considered a safe haven for investors, are not functioning as they should. For context, the biggest one-day move for the benchmark 10-year Treasury in 2021 was 0.16. This year, there have been seven days with larger moves. Liquidity is evaporating, which has caused the soaring volatility. A Bloomberg index is currently showing that liquidity in the Treasury markets is worse now than in the early days of the pandemic, while implied volatility, measured by the ICE BofA MOVE Index is near its highest since 2009. This is coming at a time when Bloomberg News reports that the largest buyers of Treasuries, including Japanese pensions, life insurers, foreign governments, and US commercial banks, are pulling back at the same time. Even Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has expressed concern about a potential breakdown in trading, saying that her department is “worried about a loss of adequate liquidity” in the US government securities market.

Finsum: A lack of liquidity and a pullback in large-scale treasury purchases has triggered volatility not seen since March 2020.

State Street launched a new fund LQIG which started trading on May 12, an effort to give investors exposure to liquid bonds with high traceability. The market is rife with turmoil, and investors are looking to different fixed-income products to provide an inflation-beating yield and relatively liquid assets. The fund seeks exposure to 400 investment-grade corporate bonds denominated in dollars. These differ from most fixed-income funds which are designed to give broader market exposure that doesn’t prioritize traceability. The high traceability comes with lower bid-ask spreads as well as more transparency into their holding's real-time valuations.

Finsum: Investment-grade corporate debt is looking relatively more attractive with market volatility at such highs.

(New York)

It has taken a long time for bond ETFs to begin getting even a tiny bit of the attention stock ETFs have gotten, but the trend has finally taken hold in earnest, and that s good news for investors. While active bond funds have done well in recent years (perhaps due to it being considered easier to outperform a bond index than a stock index), bond ETFs have now started to surpass them in growth. This is adding much more liquidity to bond funds, which benefits investors substantially. Both active and passive bond funds have taken in over $200 bn each in 2019.

FINSUM: While “liquidity mismatch” worries will continue to linger, the fact is that bond ETFs make a lot of sense (perhaps even more than stock ETFs?) because they circumvent minimum-buy and illiquidity issues, allowing many more people to access hard-to-reach corners of the bond market.