Displaying items by tag: volatility

After a tough year for fixed income, many bond strategists are expecting 2023 to be a great year for bonds. But where should advisors and investors look to invest? In an interview with Yahoo Finance Live, PIMCO Managing Director and Portfolio Manager Sonali Pier offered her perspective on where the sweet spot will be for bonds this year. She believes that despite potential volatility, “there’s a lot of room now for income-producing assets.” She stated, that “a sweet spot may be those Triple Bs within investment grade, for example, where dollar prices have come down a lot as a result of the interest rates rising as well as credit spreads having widened.” In the interview, she also talked about what areas of the corporate bond market to avoid. Her firm is most concerned with areas where there are “low multiples on businesses, low margins, high cyclicality, where it's very difficult to weather a storm like a recession when you have those types of things against you as well as still inflation as an impact.” She mentioned industries such as retail, autos, and wire lines to avoid that are seeing declines due to a “shift in investor demand as well as disruption from the supply chain.”


Finsum:PIMCO portfolio manager Sonali Pier believes that a sweet spot for bonds this year may be triple Bs within investment grade while avoiding industries such as retail, autos, and wire lines.

Published in Bonds: IG

According to a recent study by Lincoln Financial Group, market volatility is pushing Americans to refine their financial goals this year. The study revealed that 88% of Americans said they see room to improve their overall financial wellness, while 71% are likely to set financial goals in 2023. The respondents said that inflation and market volatility has made preparedness a top financial priority. For instance, 56% said protection from risk is most important to them, 39% said their greatest money goal is protecting their family, and 26% said guarding their income was a top priority. While data is showing that inflation is beginning to slow, there are still real concerns over whether the U.S. economy could enter a recession this year. This has investors nervous. David Berkowitz, Lincoln Financial Network president, said the following in a statement, "Our research reinforced the importance of financial solutions that can help consumers navigate through market cycles and protect their loved ones. People are not only concerned about having enough to pay their bills, but also saving for retirement and preparing for the unexpected.” For example, 40% of respondents said that financial protection meant being able to comfortably pay for basic living.


Finsum:A recent study by Lincoln Financial revealed that market volatility and inflation are pushing a majority of investors to set financial goals this year to navigate the market uncertainty.

Published in Wealth Management

While investors remain spooked by market volatility, Goldman Sachs believes direct indexing may benefit from the volatility. In its recent Market Know-How report, the firm wrote, “Direct indexing involves purchasing the underlying shares of an index, rather than owning an index fund. This investment strategy prioritizes tax-loss harvesting, which builds tax savings through capital losses while attempting to keep tracking error tight to the benchmark. Tax-loss harvesting works not only in down years but also in up years, historically, as individual constituents can still see intra-year declines.” The firm also listed the benefits of direct indexing beyond the tax-alpha achieved from harvesting losses. For instance, the firm lists benefits such as the ability to liquidate concentrated stock positions, reduce active risk in portfolios, and help offset significant taxable events such as the sale of a business or real estate. These can all be achieved through building a “war chest of capital losses.” In addition, Goldman also wrote that “owning individual securities instead of an index fund allows investors to achieve these potential benefits while expressing preferences, such as sector tilts.”


Finsum:In a recent report, Goldman Sachs stated that direct indexing may benefit from market volatility since the strategy prioritizes tax-loss harvesting, and historically, tax-loss harvesting works in both up and down markets.

Published in Wealth Management

If DataTrek Research is correct, we can’t expect a new bull market to commence until volatility declines. The research firm said that volatility isn’t expected to decline until two things happen. The first is the Federal Reserve stopping its interest rate hikes and the second is more clarity on corporate earnings expectations as we head into a potential recession next year. The firm believes that if investors can gauge those two factors, then they can capitalize on large stock market returns. They listed the S&P 500's 28% gain in 2003 after the dot-com bubble, the 26% gain in 2009 after the Financial Crisis, and the 61% surge from the COVID-19 low until the end of 2020 as examples. DataTrek co-founder Nicholas Colas stated, "For volatility to structurally decline and drive those high returns, investors need to have growing confidence they know how corporate earnings will develop. This means they must have a handle on monetary/fiscal policy." At present, investors are not sure about those factors. The Fed recently surprised the market when it indicated that it will likely raise rates by another 75 basis points next year and leave them higher for longer. In addition, analyst earnings estimates are all over the place.


Finsum:According to DataTrek Research, investors shouldn’t expect a new bull market in stocks until the Fed stops rising rates and there is more clarity on earnings expectations.

Published in Wealth Management

Inflation? Well, here’s some breaking news – even if CNN’s come to frown upon them lately: it’s still hitting nosebleed levels, according to gsam.com. What’s more, the wider economic environment, and the labor market, especially, has strutted its mettle.

Yeah; wow. Maybe – just maybe – the network will reconsider its spanking new policy.

In any event, it means the central banks will continue to rachet up rates. The question then becomes that since monetary policy impacts the economy with a lag, will they head north too far and quickly. From GSAM’s perspective, market stabilization will demand signs of inflation topping out, not to mention hawkishness and real yields.

”Higher inflation and higher growth volatility are propelling us into a higher yield environment, marking a departure from the post-financial crisis era,’ said Whitney Watson, global head of Fixed Income Portfolio Management, Construction & Risk at Goldman Sachs Asset Management. “Ultimately, we think this presents opportunities in high-quality fixed income assets, such as investment grade corporate bonds and agency MBS.”

Meantime, it seems bonds will be back in vogue with investors next year, according to schwab.com.

And it’s a real change of pace. Following subpar yields stretching years, and in the aftermath of the extremely hard knocks endured by prices in 2022, a bounce back appears to be in store in the fixed income markets.

Published in Bonds: Total Market
Page 10 of 43

Contact Us

Newsletter

Subscribe

Subscribe to our daily newsletter

Top
We use cookies to improve our website. By continuing to use this website, you are giving consent to cookies being used. More details…